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Author Topic: Redcommander's 2010 Election Senate Results Timeline  (Read 29026 times)
redcommander
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« on: January 02, 2010, 08:48:52 pm »

So I decided to create my own, but it will just focus on Senate races for now. I will probably do one more detailed later that will include House and Gubernatorial Results.

Brett Baer  
Good Evening it is now 5:00 P.M. here in Washington as we start our 2010 election night coverage here on Fox News. I'm Brett Baer.

Kirsten Powers
And I'm Kirsten Powers.

Brett Baer
Throughout the night we will present results as well as analysis of the numerous races around the country that we strive to be fair and balanced.

Kirsten Powers
Now before we move onto our guests Frmr. Vice Presidential Nominee Geraldine Ferraro and Frmr. Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, let's view the map of the Senatorial Races around the nation.  Currently the Senate's political composition is 57 Democrats, 2 Independents, and 41 Republicans after the upset victory of Scott Brown in Massachusetts in January. Tonight there are 36 races. 18 seats are held by Democrats and 18 are held by Republicans. 5 Republicans retirements have created open seats in New Hampshire, Ohio, Kentucky, Florida, and Missouri, and 3 Democrat Retirements have occurred in Illinois, Delaware, and Hawaii.

 

« Last Edit: January 02, 2010, 10:02:43 pm by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #1 on: January 02, 2010, 09:16:19 pm »

6:00
Welcome Back, I'm Brett Baer. It is now 6:00 here in Washington, and the polls have now closed in two states, Indiana and Kentucky. In Indiana the Republicans had hoped that with all the missteps the Democrats had taken in the past two years, that they could give Evan Bayh a truely competitive race, but it appears unlikely if pre-election polling is correct, that he will lose tonight. In Kentucky, Dr. Rand Paul an eye surgeon and son of Representative and Frmr. Presidential Candidate Ron Paul is running against Lt. Governor Daniel Mongardio. It is widely expected if polling is accurate, that he will win in that race by a comfortable margin.

6:25
Kirsten Powers
At 6:25 Fox News can now project Evan Bayh as the winner in Indiana. Despite only 30% of the vote in, traditionally Democratic areas of the state have given him a higher percentage of the vote than necessary for the race to remain uncalled.


6:40
Kirsten Powers
Fox News can now project that Dr. Rand Paul is the winner of the Senatorial Race to succeed Jim Bunning in Kentucky. With a 55 to 42 margin of victory at the moment, he will join his father, Dr. Ron Paul in Congress tonight if he is reelected as is widely predicted.


Presently the Partisan Compostion of Senate remains unchanged.
« Last Edit: January 02, 2010, 09:35:11 pm by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #2 on: January 02, 2010, 09:55:14 pm »

Kirsten Powers
It is now 7:00, and the polls have now closed in three more states, South Carolina, Georgia, and Vermont.

Fox News at this time can project that Jim DeMint has been reelected in South Carolina. Compared to his fairly competitive 2004 margin, DeMint is expected to carry over 60% of the vote tonight.





Vermont is also projected to have reelected Patrick Leahy to senate in a landslide.




7:35
In Georgia, Fox News can now project Johnny Isakson has won a second term with current results having him winning 57% of the vote.



We now must go to a commercial break, but stay tuned to the number one name in news, Fox News.
« Last Edit: January 02, 2010, 10:01:04 pm by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #3 on: January 02, 2010, 10:31:42 pm »

Brett Baer
It is now 7:30 in the East, and the polls have closed in two more states, North Carolina and Ohio.

Kirsten Powers
In Ohio Rob Portman has an early lead according to indications, but it is still possible for a Lee Fisher victory tonight.

In North Carolina, Richard Burr had faced surprisingly low reelection numbers this year, and it remains to be seen if Democrat challenger Cal Cunningham can pull off a win in what all indications have indicated to be a Republican favored election cycle. Currently this race is too close to call for a declaration of a win for either candidate. It should be noted that history is on Cal Cunningham's side as no incumbent in the North Carolina race has been reelected since Sam Ervin won in 1968.

North Carolina Senate Seat too close to call

Richard Burr


Cal Cunningham

At 7:57, Fox News can call Ohio for Frmr. Representative Rob Portman. Portman maintains a healthy 55 to 42 margin.


« Last Edit: January 02, 2010, 11:11:21 pm by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #4 on: January 02, 2010, 11:05:27 pm »

Kirsten Powers
At 8:00 in the east polls have closed in 9 states, Alabama, Delaware, Illinois, Connecticut, Missouri, New Hampshire, Maryland, Florida, and Pennsylvania. At this moment we can declare Richard Shelby the winner in Alabama. Shelby only faced nominal opposition, and if projections hold, he should win reelection with about 65% of the vote.

In Maryland, Barbara Mikulski has been declared the winner. Mikulski is predicted to win with over 60%.



Peter Schiff defeats Chris Dodd


Brett Baer
It is now 8:15, and it can now be projected by Fox News that Republican Peter Schiff in the state of Conneticut has defeated incumbent Senator Chris Dodd. Although it seemed as though Dodd might have a glimmer of hope of surviving reelection through improving approval numbers, Schiff produced a number of hard-hitting savy political ads that brought back to light the number of scandals surrounding Chris Dodd. Early numbers showing a 58-40 Schiff lead. Schiff is the first Republican pickup of the evening.

Republicans pickup Delaware



As the North Carolina race continues to be too close to call, Fox News now has sizable information to project at 8:23 that Republican Mike Castle has won in Delaware. This is an especially bad loss for the Democrats not only due to the Vice President serving in this seat when in Senate, but because his son is losing by a landslide margin, 60-37. Castle a popular figure and longstanding presence in Delaware politics, managed to overcome the family connections of Beau Biden, another popular Delaware politician, who unfortunately found himself with a series of campaign missteps. Delaware is the second Republican pickup of the evening.

Kirsten Powers
The big question so far tonight is whether or not Cal Cunningham will be able to win in the North Carolina race. At the moment he has 49.2 to 47.6% lead over incumbent Richard Burr. With 55% of the the vote in, Fox News will continue to keep a close eye on the results coming in from this race.
« Last Edit: January 02, 2010, 11:14:37 pm by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #5 on: January 02, 2010, 11:13:20 pm »

That is the early projection. Numbers could change, but I don't think Dodd will be extremely electable come November.
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redcommander
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« Reply #6 on: January 03, 2010, 12:07:03 am »

Brett Baer
It is now 8:30, and the polls have now closed in the state of Arkansas. Presently, the race between State Senator Gilbert Baker and Incumbent Senator Blanche Lincoln is too close to call, with early results indicating a slight Baker lead. Fox News is now ready to make several more Senate Projections.

Toomey Wins
In Pennsylvania, with 65% of the vote counted, Republican Pat Toomey has been declared the winner against Democrat Arlen Spector. Toomey leads Spector 52-45%. Spector formerly a Republican, was unable to defend his choice to change in political affiliation, and issue that the Toomey campaign continually brought up. Pennsylvania is the third Republican pickup of tonight.


In New Hampshire, Republican Kelly Ayotte, the former Atorney General of the state is projected to have won. With 78% of the votes counted, she holds a 56-42 lead.


Kirk Wins Obama's Seat
In Illinois, another blow has been delt to the President, this time personally, as his former senate seat has been won by Republican Representative Mark Kirk. With 59% of the votes in, Kirk is maintaing a 52-44 lead over his challenger Democrat State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias. This is the fourth pickup for the Republicans tonight.

Kirsten Powers

8:45

Marco Rubio is declared the winner of the Senate race in Florida. Rubio holds a stable 56-39 lead over Democrat challenger Kendrick Meek.

Cunningham wins in North Carolina
In North Carolina, Democrat Cal Cunningham has defeated Senator Richard Burr with 86% of the vote in with a 50-47 lead. This is an extremely dissapointing result for the republicans has they spend several million dollars in order to help Burr win. So far tonight, Cunningham's win is the first Democrat Pickup.

Carnahan defeats Blunt
8:49
At 8:49 in another close race, Democrat Robin Carnahan can now be declared the winner for the senate seat held by retiring Republican Kit Bond. With 63% of the vote in, Carnahan is leading Republican Roy Blunt with 51-48. The results of this race have been extremely close for most of the hour, but Carnahan is building sizeable leads in enough counties to deny Blunt of coming back and winning. Carnahan's win puts the number of Democrat pickups to 2.

Here are the results of the Senate races so far.










« Last Edit: January 03, 2010, 01:40:29 am by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #7 on: January 03, 2010, 01:52:07 am »

How can it be hackish when Dems have won North Carolina and Missouri?
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redcommander
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« Reply #8 on: January 03, 2010, 02:00:16 am »

Kirsten Powers
8:57

Lincoln defeated in Arkansas

Welcome back to Fox News's coverage of Election Night 2010, I'm Kirsten Powers. Fox can now call the state of Arkansas for Republican Gilbert Baker. Blanche Lincoln had faced and extremely difficult campaign with attacks from both sides of the asile. Baker currently leads Lincoln 55-43% with 49% of the vote in. This is the fifth pickup for Republicans tonight, but with a net loss of two senate seats to the Democrats factored in, they have gained in total three senate seats so far.


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redcommander
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« Reply #9 on: January 03, 2010, 02:38:23 am »

9:00
Brett Baer
It's now 9:00, and polls have closed for Senatorial contests in Colorado, Both New York Senatorial Contests, Wisconsin, Arizona, Kansas, Louisiana, and South Dakota

Fox News can declare winners in 5 of these races.


In Arizona, John McCain is declared the winner against his Democrat opponent.


Todd Tiahrt has been declared the winner in Kansas. Tiarht like Hayworth expected a weak challenge by the democrats, and is expected to pull over 65% if our exit polling is correct.



In the New York A Senate race, Chuck Schumer has been declared the winner. If poll results continue, he is headed for a landslide win over his Republican opponent.


John Thune is declared the winner in South Dakota. If the Republicans manage to regain control of senate tonight, it is rumored he could be a possible contender for Senate Majority leader.


Jay Dardenne is projected by Fox News to be the winner in Louisiana. Lousiana Secretary of State Dardenne defeated incumbent David Vitter in the primary, and has proven throughout the campaign to be an effective campaigner against Democrat Charles Melancon.
« Last Edit: January 03, 2010, 02:41:09 am by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #10 on: January 03, 2010, 02:55:43 am »

9:25
Kirsten Powers


The New York-B race is still too close to call, but with current voter projections in Wisconsin, Fox News calls Russ Feingold the winner in that contest. He leads Republican Terrence Wall 53-45 with 43% percent of the vote in.


9:42
Norton wins in Colorado


Brett Baer

At 9:42, Fox News can project that the winner in Colorado is Frmr. Lt. Governor Jane Norton. With 48% of the results in, Norton leads Democrat Michael Bennett 57-41. This is the sixth Republican pickup of the night.

 
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redcommander
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« Reply #11 on: January 03, 2010, 03:11:23 am »

9:54

Gillibrand Defeated in New York


Kirsten Powers
In a close race, that originally started out as a clear Gillibrand lead, Republican Liz Feld, Mayor of Larchmont has been declared the winner of the New York Senate-B race by Fox News. With 62% of the vote in, Feld leads Gillibrand 50-48. Gillibrand's lower than average results for a Democrat in New York City are credited with a Feld win. New York-B is the Seventh Republican pickup of tonight. Presently the composition of the Senate is 51 Democrats, 46 Republicans, and 2 Independents. Whether or not Republicans will be able to pull of the number of wins necessary to regain control of the Senate remains to be seen, but if they do, the net gain would be greater than that in 1994.
« Last Edit: January 03, 2010, 03:13:08 am by redcommander »Logged
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« Reply #12 on: January 03, 2010, 03:22:14 am »

10:00

Good Evening again, I'm Brett Baer here with continuing coverage of Fox News's coverage of the 2010 Mid-term elections. Right before break we called the senatorial race for the New York-B seat for Republican Liz Feld. Before we announce the next states that have closed their polls, let's take a look at the results map of Senatorial races around the country.

« Last Edit: January 03, 2010, 03:24:50 am by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #13 on: January 03, 2010, 03:39:03 am »

10:02

Brett Baer
Fox News can now project results in the following races:


In Idaho, Mike Crapo has been reelected. Exit polling show a victory of over 80% of the vote.


In Iowa, Chuck Grassely is projected to have won. Democrats had hoped to have given him a competitive contest, but early results and exit polls predict a victory for him around 60%.

Dorgan defeated by Hoeven


In one of the most costly and media covered races in the nation, Fox News projects that Governor John Hoeven will have defeated incumbent Bryan Dorgan. With 18% of the vote in, Hoeven is leading Dorgan 59-36. Hoeven's win is the Republican eighth pickup of tonight.
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redcommander
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« Reply #14 on: January 03, 2010, 03:37:06 pm »

10:15
Kirsten Powers

Fox News can project that Incumbent Senator Bob Bennett has been reelected in Utah.

10:35

Reid defeated in Nevada
It is now projected that Harry Reid has been defeated in the state of Nevada by Republican Danny Tarkanian. With 48% of the vote in, Tarkanian is leading 55-39.
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redcommander
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« Reply #15 on: January 03, 2010, 05:11:25 pm »

11:00
Brett Baer
Welcome Back to Fox News, Polls have just closed in California, Oregon, and Washington.



« Last Edit: January 03, 2010, 05:19:44 pm by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #16 on: January 04, 2010, 06:59:21 pm »

11:05

Brett Baer



Fox News has now received enough polling results to declare that Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon will be elected to a second term in senate. Wyden has not faced a strong challenge since he was first elected in a 1996 special election and faced Gordon Smith. He should if polling is correct win with over 60% of the vote.

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redcommander
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« Reply #17 on: January 04, 2010, 07:02:19 pm »

Okay, well its a revolutionary concept, the content however is imperfect.

For one, I highly doubt Schiff will win the CT GOP primary. If he does, Dodd will survive.

There is no way Burr or Blunt is losing in a landslide of this proportions. Whatever there issues are, they would be carried to victory on the slant of the year alone.

New York's class I seat is not going to be lost to anyone except maybe either Rudy or Pataki and definately not to some mayor from some small town. If the Mayor of Yonkers couldn't get 35% against Hillary Clinton, a smaller town mayor isn't getting over that either.

Next, there has been no primary polling in Nevada, that I have seen so far and my guess would be that Sue Lowden would have a slight advantage over Tarkanian but since that is in the air I won't criticize your call on that.

Lastly the polling we do have in Kansas says that Jerry Moran is leading Tiarht narrowly with most of NE Kansas undecided and they will decide the winner. Moran leads the Western part of the state and Tiarht in the SE portion. I think Moran would have the edge in NE Kansas but in such an instance I think for credibility purposes alone, you should go with the current polling data.

Finally some of your margins are bit out of left field.


Other then those issues, its great and again a revolutionary concept. Smiley

Well I wouldn't say it's impossible for Gillibrand to be defeated by an unknown person like Feld. Al D'Amato came out of nowhere and won in 1980.
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redcommander
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« Reply #18 on: January 04, 2010, 07:29:29 pm »

11:50

Murray defeated in Washington
In what has been a close race tonight for Patty Murray, Fox News can now estimate that she has been defeated by King County Sheriff Sue Rahr. This is the tenth pickup for Republicans tonight. Rahr is leading with 51% of the vote in, 50-47. Currently the Senate composition is 50 Democrats, 48 Republicans, and 2 Independents. Now if Republicans can pick up the Senate seat in California, where results have indicated the race as too close to call at the moment, and the open seat in Hawaii, then they will have regained control of the United States Senate narrowly. However they would still run into problems with control if a tied vote were to occur as the 2 independents caucus with the democrats.
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redcommander
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« Reply #19 on: January 04, 2010, 07:31:02 pm »

Well I wouldn't say it's impossible for Gillibrand to be defeated by an unknown person like Feld. Al D'Amato came out of nowhere and won in 1980.

2010 won't be a 1980, and 2010 New York is not 1980 New York.

It is in this scenario.
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redcommander
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« Reply #20 on: January 04, 2010, 07:36:10 pm »

12:00

Kirsten Powers

Hello, and welcome back to Fox News, currently polls have just closed in the last Two Senatorial Contests of the evening in Hawaii and Alaska. The race in California remains too close between Republican Steve Poizner and Democrat Barbara Boxer.

12:03


At this time Fox News is confident enough to project Incumbent Republican Lisa Murkowski as the winner in Alaska. Murkowski is leading her democrat opponent 55-41%.
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redcommander
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« Reply #21 on: January 04, 2010, 07:42:14 pm »

12:24

Brett Baer


Barbara Boxer Defeated


It can be projected that in California, Republican Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner has defeated Democrat Barbara Boxer. Poizner as some of our viewers may remember ran originally for Governor, but was convinced to switch over to the Senate race upon sagging poll numbers in the Primary Race. Poizner leads Boxer with 78% of the vote in, 51-45.
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redcommander
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« Reply #22 on: January 04, 2010, 08:25:27 pm »

12:49

Republicans Win back Control of the United States Senate
Lingle Wins Senate Seat in Hawaii


Kirsten Powers

In what could be the most devastating loss for the Democrats, Fox News can now project Governor Linda Lingle the winner of the senate seat of retiring Senator Daniel Inouye. Inouye originally stated his intentions to run for reelection, but citing family concerns, retired earlier this year. Lingle leads her democrat opponent 56-38 with 52% of the vote in. This loss in the President's home state gives control of the United States Senate to the Republican Party in their biggest net gain of seats since the Reagan landslide of 1980. The Senate will now be composed of 47 Democrats, 51 Republicans, and 2 Independents. It may become necessary however for a tie breaking vote by Vice President Biden on certain bills if deadlock occurs.

Here are our the Voting Results at our coverage conclusion.

Indiana Evan Bayh 57% Republican Opponent 40%
Kentucky Rand Paul 55% Daniel Mongiardo 43%
South Carolina Jim DeMint 61% Democrat Opponent 37%
Vermont Patrick Leahy 68% Republican Opponent 29%
Georgia Johnny Isakson 56% Democrat Opponent 42%
North Carolina Cal Cunningham 49% Richard Burr 47%
Ohio Rob Portman 53% Lee Fisher 45%
Alabama Richard Shelby 66% Democrat Opponent 31%
Delaware Mike Castle 58% Beau Biden 39%
Missouri Robin Carnahan 52% Roy Blunt 47%
Connecticut Peter Schiff 59% Chris Dodd 37%
Maryland Barbara Mikulski 62% Republican Opponent 36%
Florida Marco Rubio 55% Kendrick Meek 38%
New Hampshire Kelly Ayotte 54% Paul Hodes 44%
Oklahoma Tom Coburn 59% Democrat Opponent 36%
Pennsylvania Pat Toomey 52% Spector 43%
Illinois Mark Kirk 51% Alexi Giannoulias 46%
Arkansas Gilbert Baker 56% Blanche Lincoln 41%
Arizona John McCain 69% Democrat Opponent 27%
Kansas Todd Tiahrt 65% Democrat Opponent 32%
South Dakota John Thune 57% Democrat Opponent 39%
Louisiana Jay Dardenne 54% Charles Melancon 43%
New York A Chuck Schumer 67% Republican Opponent 35%
New York B Liz Feld 51% Kirsten Gillibrand 43%
Winsconsin Russ Feingold 52% Terrence Hall 46%
Colorado Jane Norton 57% Michael Bennett 40%
Idaho Mike Crapo 87% Democrat Opponent 11%
Iowa Chuck Grassley 61% Democrat Opponent 36%
North Dakota John Hoeven 60% Bryan Dorgan 38%
Oregon Ron Wyden 63% Republican Opponent 34%
Alaska Lisa Murkowski 54% Democrat Opponent 42%
Utah Bob Bennett 73% Democrat Opponent 30%
Washington Sue Rahr 53% Patty Murray 45%
Nevada Danny Tarkanian 56% Harry Reid 38%
California Steve Poizner 51% Barbara Boxer 44%
Hawaii Linda Lingle 57% Democrat Opponent 37%





Brett Baer
From Fox News, I'm Brett Baer.

Kirsten Powers
And I 'm Kirsten Powers and we wish you all a Good Night. Continuing coverage and analysis will be continued by Studio B.
« Last Edit: January 04, 2010, 08:32:13 pm by redcommander »Logged
redcommander
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« Reply #23 on: January 04, 2010, 08:45:55 pm »

Now that we are done with this ridiculous and entirely pointless thread, what comes next?

I know what comes next. Democratic landside in 2016. Dems pickup 13 seats. lol

It all comes down to candidate recruitment. The only thing ridiculous about this thread is that I gave North Carolina to the Democrat who I think is the most electable running. Also I threw in a few retirements and candidates that probably won't happen or run.
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redcommander
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« Reply #24 on: January 04, 2010, 08:50:41 pm »

The map is similar. A 2010 result like that would definitely set up a highly favorable map for democrat gains in 2016. That's part of the reason I set up Democrat pickups in Missouri and North Carolina. Burr will probably win reelection, but those two pickups would give the GOP two places to run offensive in 2016 against defensive in the rest of the country in my scenario.
« Last Edit: January 04, 2010, 08:52:32 pm by redcommander »Logged
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