Does Tim Cahill's Decision to run as an Independent now Appear Clairvoyant?
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  Does Tim Cahill's Decision to run as an Independent now Appear Clairvoyant?
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Author Topic: Does Tim Cahill's Decision to run as an Independent now Appear Clairvoyant?  (Read 1209 times)
Lunar
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« on: January 21, 2010, 11:51:04 AM »
« edited: January 21, 2010, 11:52:52 AM by Lunar »

He's running as an Independent former Democrat.  I'm interested in how the special election to replace Ted has impacted forecasts on this race.

 
http://bostonherald.com/news/politics/view/20100116poll_independents_abandoning_deval_patrick_in_droves/srvc=home&position=2

Independent voters have deserted Gov. Deval Patrick, an ominous sign in the first-term incumbent’s quest for re-election this year, according to a new Suffolk University/7News poll.

“There’s a void, similar to the void that was filled with Scott Brown, that appears to be opening up with independents in this poll,” said David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University’s Political Research Center.

“That certainly leaves the door open for (state Treasurer) Tim Cahill or (GOP candidate) Charlie Baker, given that the independents are fed up with (Patrick.)”

Patrick is viewed unfavorably by a whopping 63 percent of independents, who make up the largest bloc of voters in the state, the poll found. Most voters, 56 percent, disapprove of the job he’s doing, while only 35 percent approve, according to the poll, which surveyed 500 likely voters Monday through Wednesday.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2010, 01:49:17 PM »

You didn't need a crystal ball to know that Deval would be vulnerable, but there was nothing especially prescient about Cahill's switch. He's well aware that he'd be a slam dunk as the Democratic nominee, but he's similarly aware that ousting Deval in a Democratic primary would be a dicey proposition at best.

I don't know that the Brown/Coakley race shifted things much. Deval was in miserable shape before, and he's in miserable shape after.

The race could get interesting once it begins getting fired up. I honestly think Cahill has something of a glass jaw, and Democrats and Republicans alike may be interested at taking a few swings at it. Then again, Charlie Baker has the stink of a health care big wig on him, and that could be especially disastrous in 2010.

It upsets me that the worst possible option could win re-election because there were too many people interested in taking him down.
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BRTD
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« Reply #2 on: January 23, 2010, 08:33:04 PM »

What is so wrong about Patrick anyway? I've never heard any specific complaints about him.

Will WalterMitty be the only person in the state who didn't vote for him in 2006 but will vote for him now?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2010, 11:36:22 PM »

What is so wrong about Patrick anyway? I've never heard any specific complaints about him.

Will WalterMitty be the only person in the state who didn't vote for him in 2006 but will vote for him now?

The economy. Also he is not the best friend of the Machine which will be inclined to hang him out to dry in 2010. Though being the only the option the Machine has over a Liberal Republican and turncoat fiscally Conservative Independent former Dem who just picked a Pro-Life Repub as his running mate.
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Bo
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« Reply #4 on: January 24, 2010, 10:42:54 PM »

No.
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vane
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« Reply #5 on: January 24, 2010, 10:50:59 PM »

Cahill would have my full support if I resided in Massachusetts.
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