Cuomo is a near certainty . I think Durbin will have maybe a 70% at replacing Reid, while I think Reid has probably a 50-70% of losing reelection. I disagree with the above poster, however, in that i think Obama also coming from Chicago will actually hurt Durbin's chances.
What people might not get is that while Schumer is valued as a tactician, he is not particularly telegenic and Durbin is really good at what he does even if he's not always the best politician. I think Schumer would be a far better majority leader, but I'm not sure if I trust the Democratic caucus to respect that.
We'll see.
You are not implying Lunar are you that you think Durbin is
telegenic?