AR-02/SurveyUSA: Rep. Vic Snyder (D) in disturbing shape (user search)
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  AR-02/SurveyUSA: Rep. Vic Snyder (D) in disturbing shape (search mode)
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Author Topic: AR-02/SurveyUSA: Rep. Vic Snyder (D) in disturbing shape  (Read 2762 times)
cinyc
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« on: January 15, 2010, 03:33:28 AM »


Yup.  And it looks like they hired one of the best local pollsters in the business - which is good news for us.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2010, 02:22:06 PM »


Yup.  And it looks like they hired one of the best local pollsters in the business - which is good news for us.

Meh, I've always liked the Kos-sponsored R2k polls, although they weren't especially accurate, you could adjust them a couple points more Republican and they'd usually be pretty good, and the polls were so prolific that it'd be almost unacceptable to ignore them.  What was/is key in my ability to interpret the R2k polls is their consistency, which is fairly solid.

I don't have the numbers in front of my and it's pretty late at night, but SUSA is one of the most erratic pollsters out there, right [ignoring Zogby]?  While that might be better for making news and making business, I'm not the biggest fan in the world of SUSA, and become even more skeptical of them if they're hired by a partisan organization.  I feel that it is in the polling industry's business interests to be erratic and release "surprising" poll results, and I fear that SUSA may have a methodology conducive to that pressure, less so than Zogby of course. 

We'll see.  Arkansas, like West Virginia, is a weird state.  Maybe it'll finally align with its conservative potential.  Snyder also isn't the most passionate politician out there.

SUSA has a lot of experience polling hyper-local races, from the recent Atlanta Mayoral Race to Congressional races.  They're usually pretty accurate.  And at least for their media polling, they ALWAYS post cross-tabs - something you usually can't say about Rasmussen, Research 2000 or other non-uni pollsters.

I was actually polled by them once, and they have a little secret in getting a higher response rate - at least in New York, they used the voice of the famous local TV anchor that they are paired up with to ask you to complete the poll.   The caller ID may have used the name of the station as well, which makes people more likely to pick up.  I don't know how that will translate when firedoglake is their client.

I don't have much of a problem with Research 2000's polls - they lean a bit to the Dems, but their polls are usually respectable after slight adjustment. 
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