Evan Bayh
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  Evan Bayh
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Author Topic: Evan Bayh  (Read 2811 times)
J. J.
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« on: January 15, 2010, 02:04:48 PM »

Is anyone watching this race?

I like him, but I'm wondering about his re-election prospects.
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Meeker
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2010, 02:06:07 PM »

The likely Republican nominee is the biggest joke of a congressman in Indiana history. I'm not concerned.
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J. J.
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2010, 02:07:34 PM »

The likely Republican nominee is the biggest joke of a congressman in Indiana history. I'm not concerned.

We're looking at what could be a very good GOP year.  I would keep an eye on this one.
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Meeker
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2010, 02:08:26 PM »

The likely Republican nominee is the biggest joke of a congressman in Indiana history. I'm not concerned.

We're looking at what could be a very good GOP year.  I would keep an eye on this one.

Thanks J.J. I really value your advice.
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J. J.
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« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2010, 02:11:47 PM »

His father lost in the 1980 landslide.  This is also the state that gave us J. Danforth Quayle.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2010, 03:19:45 PM »

His father lost in the 1980 landslide.

His father never won by much.
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Badger
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« Reply #6 on: January 15, 2010, 03:59:54 PM »


And was a bona fide liberal to boot.
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JSojourner
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« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2010, 05:38:55 PM »

J.J. -

I don't care how "Republican" a year it is.  The only pols that might conceivably beat Evan Bayh are Mitch Daniels and Mike Pence.  And even then, we're talking a minor miracle.  The only Hoosiers who DON'T love this guy are uber liberals like me.

He was a successful, effective and popular Secretary of State.
He was a successfull, very effective and popular Governor for two terms.

And when he initially announced plans to run for Senate, our enormously popular Senator Dan Coats (a perfect match for this state being an Evangelical Christian Republican) simply chose not to risk losing. (Kinda lika Dodd and Dorgan are doing now.)  That's how powerful and popular Bayh is.

His Dad was a liberal.  But Evan is not.  Indeed, if it weren't for those historic family ties to the Democratic party and a very nominally pro-choice position on abortion rights, this guy would be a moderate to conservate Republican in the mold of Dick Lugar.

I'm not hear to cheer for Evan Bayh...he's my Senator and I tolerate him because he's about the best we Democrats can home for. But let's get real -- no one's gonna beat him minus a major scandal.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2010, 05:47:18 PM »

I like Bayh, don't get me wrong.

Chris Mathews just mentioned a potential loss of his seat (I didn't plan that).

I'm looking at the political landscape.  Bayh was popular, but the times are changing.
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JSojourner
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« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2010, 05:51:20 PM »

I like Bayh, don't get me wrong.

Chris Mathews just mentioned a potential loss of his seat (I didn't plan that).

I'm looking at the political landscape.  Bayh was popular, but the times are changing.

I didn't hear motormouth's report on Bayh...but I'd just bet he was opining about a possible "what it" scenario -- like -- "What if Bayh decided to retire or take a cabinet job..."  In which case...yeah -- Bayh's seat definitely goes R.
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J. J.
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« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2010, 05:59:14 PM »

I like Bayh, don't get me wrong.

Chris Mathews just mentioned a potential loss of his seat (I didn't plan that).

I'm looking at the political landscape.  Bayh was popular, but the times are changing.

I didn't hear motormouth's report on Bayh...but I'd just bet he was opining about a possible "what it" scenario -- like -- "What if Bayh decided to retire or take a cabinet job..."  In which case...yeah -- Bayh's seat definitely goes R.

IN is a traditionally Republican state and this is starting to look like it might be a very Republican year.

CM was talking about a bad Democratic year and mentioned Bayh as one that could go GOP in a bad year.

Three weeks ago, did you ever think about the serious possibility of MA electing a conservative Republican, in a seat that held by Ted Kennedy since before I was born?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #11 on: January 15, 2010, 06:26:01 PM »


These two facts are related.
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Rococo4
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« Reply #12 on: January 15, 2010, 06:50:13 PM »

Its possible, I dont think it is so outrageous to think that Bayh could lose. 
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J. J.
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« Reply #13 on: January 15, 2010, 06:58:29 PM »

After seeing the Brown, Coakley and Boxer poll numbers, I don't see it as outrageous.
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #14 on: January 15, 2010, 07:18:53 PM »

Bayh will not win by as large a margin but it is still safe for him.
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Coakley just jas a terrible campaign, and Boxer has a bad habit saying stupid things while a camera is on her. Bayh, at least the last I've heard, is still very popular.
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J. J.
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« Reply #15 on: January 15, 2010, 07:22:36 PM »

Bayh will not win by as large a margin but it is still safe for him.
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Coakley just jas a terrible campaign, and Boxer has a bad habit saying stupid things while a camera is on her. Bayh, at least the last I've heard, is still very popular.

Boxers has been re-elected at least twice; Coakley is running for possibly the most Democratic seat in the nation.  We don't have any polling on Bayh.
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Bo
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« Reply #16 on: January 15, 2010, 08:24:12 PM »

Bayh will win. I mean, even Obama (a black liberal from Chicago) managed to win Indiana (the historical home of the KKK and racism in the North).
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J. J.
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« Reply #17 on: January 15, 2010, 08:29:18 PM »

Bayh will win. I mean, even Obama (a black liberal from Chicago) managed to win Indiana (the historical home of the KKK and racism in the North).

You mean Obama, from next door.  This is one of several to watch.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #18 on: January 15, 2010, 08:59:09 PM »

Bayh will win. I mean, even Obama (a black liberal from Chicago) managed to win Indiana (the historical home of the KKK and racism in the North).

You mean Obama, from next door.  This is one of several to watch.

Yeah, wasn't Gary, IN Metro the main reason he won? Super black and high turnout...
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #19 on: January 15, 2010, 09:01:28 PM »

Doubt it.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #20 on: January 15, 2010, 09:27:00 PM »

Yeah, wasn't Gary, IN Metro the main reason he won? Super black and high turnout...

It was so close that you can argue that almost anywhere in the state was the "main reason he won". The swing in the Gary area was less than average for northern Indiana, fwiw.
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JSojourner
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« Reply #21 on: January 16, 2010, 04:24:37 PM »

Yeah, wasn't Gary, IN Metro the main reason he won? Super black and high turnout...

It was so close that you can argue that almost anywhere in the state was the "main reason he won". The swing in the Gary area was less than average for northern Indiana, fwiw.

Accurate.  The Gary-Hammond-Whiting area always gets counted last because it's in a different time zone, too.  So it sometimes seems to have the effect of "swinging the state" in tight races because results usually come in later.
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jfern
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« Reply #22 on: January 16, 2010, 04:25:57 PM »


Unlike his useless spawn.
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Badlands17
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« Reply #23 on: January 16, 2010, 04:59:39 PM »
« Edited: January 16, 2010, 05:06:21 PM by Badlands17 »

As another native, I back this up.

J.J. -

I don't care how "Republican" a year it is.  The only pols that might conceivably beat Evan Bayh are Mitch Daniels and Mike Pence.  And even then, we're talking a minor miracle.  The only Hoosiers who DON'T love this guy are uber liberals like me.

He was a successful, effective and popular Secretary of State.
He was a successfull, very effective and popular Governor for two terms.

And when he initially announced plans to run for Senate, our enormously popular Senator Dan Coats (a perfect match for this state being an Evangelical Christian Republican) simply chose not to risk losing. (Kinda lika Dodd and Dorgan are doing now.)  That's how powerful and popular Bayh is.

His Dad was a liberal.  But Evan is not.  Indeed, if it weren't for those historic family ties to the Democratic party and a very nominally pro-choice position on abortion rights, this guy would be a moderate to conservate Republican in the mold of Dick Lugar.

I'm not hear to cheer for Evan Bayh...he's my Senator and I tolerate him because he's about the best we Democrats can home for. But let's get real -- no one's gonna beat him minus a major scandal.

Bayh will win. I mean, even Obama (a black liberal from Chicago) managed to win Indiana (the historical home of the KKK and racism in the North).

You mean Obama, from next door.  This is one of several to watch.

Yeah, wasn't Gary, IN Metro the main reason he won? Super black and high turnout...

The area that swung the hardest was the Lafayette metro, which in a few decades will probably be Bloomington's companion politically as well as academically, though the whole state with the exception of the far southeast swung significantly above average.
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #24 on: January 16, 2010, 07:30:48 PM »

Did the Democrats gain Maine in 2006? No.
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