NY-01/SUSA-FDL: Bishop in a close race

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Looking good, Looking good. We may finally see the end of Bishop.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Altschuler needs to increase his support among women voters and get the other 10% of Republicans who disapprove of Obama to support him(74% of Repubs disapprove of Obama but only 66% of Repubs support Altschuler. Adding more points among Independents wouldn't hurt either.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I live in this district. That 1% sample is a little ridiculous, but it's definitely not pushing 6 or 7%.

Just from what I've seen/heard - Bishop will lose. I don't know how he's gotten away with such a liberal voting record in a swing district, aside from being generally well-liked in the Town of Southampton.

Crappy candidate in 2004, and two waves in 2006 and 2008.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I live in this district. That 1% sample is a little ridiculous, but it's definitely not pushing 6 or 7%.

Just from what I've seen/heard - Bishop will lose. I don't know how he's gotten away with such a liberal voting record in a swing district, aside from being generally well-liked in the Town of Southampton.

Crappy candidate in 2004, and two waves in 2006 and 2008.

To be honest, he's had a crappy opponent all three times. And the old people genuinely like him a lot. He could still probably pull it off with a solid campaign, but I really think health care has killed him. (He was one of the first congressmen, if not the first, bum-rushed at a town hall.)

Well even if he had good opponents in 2006 or 2008, he would have still won reelection because of the wave.