I live in this district. That 1% sample is a little ridiculous, but it's definitely not pushing 6 or 7%.
Just from what I've seen/heard - Bishop will lose. I don't know how he's gotten away with such a liberal voting record in a swing district, aside from being generally well-liked in the Town of Southampton.
Crappy candidate in 2004, and two waves in 2006 and 2008.
To be honest, he's had a crappy opponent all three times. And the old people genuinely like him a lot. He could still probably pull it off with a solid campaign, but I really think health care has killed him. (He was one of the first congressmen, if not the first, bum-rushed at a town hall.)
