2012: Palin/Brown vs Obama/Biden
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  2012: Palin/Brown vs Obama/Biden		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: 2012: Palin/Brown vs Obama/Biden  (Read 1287 times)
Sewer
SpaceCommunistMutant
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« on: February 06, 2010, 10:03:38 PM »
go
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #1 on: February 06, 2010, 11:47:08 PM »


The EV's need to be adjusted.

I'm assuming unemployment is about 7.5-8.0% on election day in this scenario.
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Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2010, 11:25:47 PM »
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #3 on: February 08, 2010, 07:48:04 PM »
Quote from: Рошамбо on February 06, 2010, 11:47:08 PM


The EV's need to be adjusted.

I'm assuming unemployment is about 7.5-8.0% on election day in this scenario.

This.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2010, 11:06:17 PM »
Assuming unemployment is still at the same levels, still Obama.
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2010, 11:44:17 PM »
Quote from: NiK on February 08, 2010, 11:06:17 PM
Assuming unemployment is still at the same levels, still Obama.

By same levels, do you mean 10% or a different number?
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sentinel
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« Reply #6 on: February 08, 2010, 11:51:41 PM »
7-8% unemployment, 53-55% approval. Health care passes in late 2010
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Psychic Octopus
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: February 10, 2010, 06:29:43 PM »
Quote from: Рошамбо on February 08, 2010, 11:44:17 PM
Quote from: NiK on February 08, 2010, 11:06:17 PM
Assuming unemployment is still at the same levels, still Obama.

By same levels, do you mean 10% or a different number?

10%
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Conservative frontier
JC
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« Reply #8 on: February 12, 2010, 12:10:22 PM »
Obama wins. I vote Palin.
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Anthony
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« Reply #9 on: February 16, 2010, 12:02:21 AM »
« Edited: February 16, 2010, 12:28:32 AM by Anthony »
Here are some scenarios.

Great Obama presidency



Good Obama presidency



Okay Obama presidency



Poor Obama presidency



Terrible Obama presidency


EDIT: Oops. Just updated the maps to include Wisconsin as one of the states Obama wins.
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Bo
Rochambeau
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« Reply #10 on: February 16, 2010, 12:15:29 AM »
Quote from: Anthony on February 16, 2010, 12:02:21 AM
Here are some scenarios.



Good Obama presidency



Okay Obama presidency



Poor Obama presidency





Why would Obama lose Wisconsin in all these scenarios. It voted for him by a double-digit margin, and both Gore and Kerry won the state before him. Also, Clinton won the state twice. There are many states that would flip before Wisconsin would.
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justW353
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« Reply #11 on: February 19, 2010, 06:07:35 PM »


Obama/Biden:  430
Palin/Brown:  108

That's assuming an unemployment rate of about 8 on Election Day.
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