(McLaughlin & Assocs - R) Delahunt (D, MA-10) in trouble?

[ajc0918]

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/02/gop_poll_shows_1.php

Rep. Bill Delahunt (D-MA) is the latest Dem to face a serious challenge, according to a new poll conducted for ex-Treas. Joe Malone (R).
The McLaughlin & Associates poll surveyed 300 likely voters Jan. 30-31 for a margin of error of +/- 5.7%. Delahunt and Malone were tested.

General Election Matchup
Malone        37
Delahunt      34

Voters see Delahunt in a positive light, with a 44%-33% fav/unfav rating, but that -- and other important numbers -- are below the 50% mark seen as crucial to incumbents seeking re-election. Still, Malone's team did not release a head-to-head matchup that includes leaners, suggesting Delahunt is in better shape than the initial matchup suggests.
Delahunt is seen as GOPers' top target in MA, where all 10 members of Congress are Dems. Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) won 61% of the vote in Delahunt's district, which stretches from the South Boston suburbs out to the Cape.

[MArepublican]

If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.

[ajc0918]

If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.

Who is then?

[Lief 🐋]

If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.

Who is then?

Scott Brown, duh.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Internal 'poll', yaaaaaaaaawnz.

[MArepublican]

If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.

Who is then?

Either State Rep. Jeff Perry  or State Senator Bob Hedlund

[ajc0918]

Internal 'poll', yaaaaaaaaawnz.

I hope Delahunt says the same thing, just like Coakley.

[Alcon]

Everything that could possibly be wrong with this poll pretty much is. 

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Everything that could possibly be wrong with this poll pretty much is. 

That's what they said about Scott Brown you democRat party hack.

[redcommander]

Everything that could possibly be wrong with this poll pretty much is. 

That's what they said about Scott Brown you democRat party hack.

Will you all stop comparing Brown's race to every Democrat in trouble. Delahunt is a left wing loon, and his district is seizing on the opportunity to throw him out now because of his out of step views with his constituents.

[Хahar 🤔]

Yeah, just like Kennedy.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

I would like to see Delahunt kicked out, of course, but unfortunately I doubt that this race will even be close in the end.

[redcommander]

I would like to see Delahunt kicked out, of course, but unfortunately I doubt that this race will even be close in the end.

If a Republican is going to win a house race in Massachusetts this is the most likely one to flip. However you're right it would be pretty difficult for a Republican to win, Delahunt hasn't had a strong challenger in a while.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

If this poll is anywhere near accurate were in great shape. Malone isn't even our strongest candidate.

Who is then?

Either State Rep. Jeff Perry  or State Senator Bob Hedlund

Jeff Perry is a nice guy, but he's hardly your best candidate.

[Badger]

Everything that could possibly be wrong with this poll pretty much is. 

That's what they said about Scott Brown you democRat party hack.

Will you all stop comparing Brown's race to every Democrat in trouble. Delahunt is a left wing loon, and his district is seizing on the opportunity to throw him out now because of his out of step views with his constituents.

Which obviously is why his constituents have handidly reelected this out of step left wing loon 7 times now....

[SamInTheSouth]

Which obviously is why his constituents have handidly reelected this out of step left wing loon 7 times now....

Incumbent retention is well over 90% with the exception of a wave year for one party.  Usually the only time they lose is if they get some kind of really negative publicity over a vote or scandal or a wave year comes for the opposite party and pushes them out.

[Badger]

Which obviously is why his constituents have handidly reelected this out of step left wing loon 7 times now....

Incumbent retention is well over 90% with the exception of a wave year for one party.  Usually the only time they lose is if they get some kind of really negative publicity over a vote or scandal or a wave year comes for the opposite party and pushes them out.

All true. I was simply needling the new walking RNC talking point going over the top (again).

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Which obviously is why his constituents have handidly reelected this out of step left wing loon 7 times now....

Incumbent retention is well over 90% with the exception of a wave year for one party.  Usually the only time they lose is if they get some kind of really negative publicity over a vote or scandal or a wave year comes for the opposite party and pushes them out.

Republicans didn't even try contesting the seat those last 7 elections.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     Internal poll. Toss it & forget it.

[Conservative frontier]

Here's what I predict the final results will be, it's very close :

Delahunt : 61.34%
Malone : 38.74%

Look at the closefulnessnes

[Vepres]

I can see it now, in a major upset Delahunt wins with only 2/3 of the vote.

[Torie]

Delahunt is now plagued by scandal, and he won't be running for re-election. He's done. You just wait and see.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Delahunt is now plagued by scandal, and he won't be running for re-election. He's done. You just wait and see.

I think you're right, of course. He seemed to be leaning against running again, even before the recent flare up of controversy involving the Bishop case.

[ScottM]

Since it's Massachusetts, I would like to see more polling before getting too excited about this. That said, I don't guess it's impossible (even if unlikely), after all, Martha Coakley couldn't lose either.

[The Conflict]

Something that happened 24 years ago is going to take down Delahunt?