How Maryland + D.C. has voted

[bgwah]

Inspired by the recent statehood thread. These are the combined results of MD and DC for Presidential elections.

Year 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

% D 63.40% 64.81% 64.72% 58.81% 59.16% 57.18% 53.38% 51.68% 51.31% 49.95% 56.05% 41.75% 48.23% 68.49%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

% R 30.91% 33.10% 33.73% 40.01% 37.35% 35.54% 32.89% 47.39% 48.16% 41.06% 43.75% 56.98% 39.06% 31.50%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

%  I/O 5.69% 2.10% 1.55% 1.18% 3.49% 7.29% 13.72% 0.93% 0.52% 8.99% 0.20% 1.27% 12.72% 0.00%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Margin 32.49% 31.71% 30.99% 18.80% 21.81% 21.64% 20.49% 4.30% 3.15% 8.89% 12.30% 15.23% 9.17% 36.99%

[Antonio the Sixth]

Damn, even in 1984 it would go dem ?

[minionofmidas]

Now do Virginia+DC.

[Ebowed]

Now do Virginia+DC.

Year 2012 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% D 53.97% 55.28% 48.39% 47.23% 48.01% 44.19% 42.74% 41.42% 43.26% 51.00% 34.96% 37.98% 58.66%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% R 44.45% 43.68% 50.74% 49.49% 44.41% 42.04% 56.06% 57.94% 49.65% 46.33% 63.18% 40.56% 41.11%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

%  I/O 1.58% 1.04% 0.88% 3.28% 7.59% 13.77% 1.20% 0.64% 7.09% 2.67% 1.86% 21.46% 0.23%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

Margin 9.52% 11.61% 2.35% 2.26% 3.60% 2.16% 13.32% 16.52% 6.40% 4.68% 28.21% 2.57% 17.54%

[Vepres]

Now do Virginia+DC.

Year 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% D 55.28% 48.39% 47.23% 48.01% 44.19% 42.74% 41.42% 43.26% 51.00% 34.96% 37.98% 58.66%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% R 43.68% 50.74% 49.49% 44.41% 42.04% 56.06% 57.94% 49.65% 46.33% 63.18% 40.56% 41.11%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

%  I/O 1.04% 0.88% 3.28% 7.59% 13.77% 1.20% 0.64% 7.09% 2.67% 1.86% 21.46% 0.23%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

Margin 11.61% 2.35% 2.26% 3.60% 2.16% 13.32% 16.52% 6.40% 4.68% 28.21% 2.57% 17.54%

I'm surprised Bush won it both times.

[minionofmidas]

Dank U!

[Brittain33]

I'm surprised Bush won it both times.

Virginia is 40% larger than Maryland, so D.C.'s strength is comparatively more diluted, and Bush did win the state handily both times.

[Smid]

Now do Virginia+DC.

Year 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% D 55.28% 48.39% 47.23% 48.01% 44.19% 42.74% 41.42% 43.26% 51.00% 34.96% 37.98% 58.66%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% R 43.68% 50.74% 49.49% 44.41% 42.04% 56.06% 57.94% 49.65% 46.33% 63.18% 40.56% 41.11%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

%  I/O 1.04% 0.88% 3.28% 7.59% 13.77% 1.20% 0.64% 7.09% 2.67% 1.86% 21.46% 0.23%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

Margin 11.61% 2.35% 2.26% 3.60% 2.16% 13.32% 16.52% 6.40% 4.68% 28.21% 2.57% 17.54%

So a fairly accurate bell-weather seat?

[bgwah]

Now do Virginia+DC.

Year 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% D 55.28% 48.39% 47.23% 48.01% 44.19% 42.74% 41.42% 43.26% 51.00% 34.96% 37.98% 58.66%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% R 43.68% 50.74% 49.49% 44.41% 42.04% 56.06% 57.94% 49.65% 46.33% 63.18% 40.56% 41.11%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

%  I/O 1.04% 0.88% 3.28% 7.59% 13.77% 1.20% 0.64% 7.09% 2.67% 1.86% 21.46% 0.23%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

Margin 11.61% 2.35% 2.26% 3.60% 2.16% 13.32% 16.52% 6.40% 4.68% 28.21% 2.57% 17.54%

So a fairly accurate bell-weather seat?

If we had more D.C. results, I'm guessing VA+D.C. would be perfect back to 1928.

[DariusNJ]

Now do Virginia+DC.

Year 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% D 55.28% 48.39% 47.23% 48.01% 44.19% 42.74% 41.42% 43.26% 51.00% 34.96% 37.98% 58.66%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% R 43.68% 50.74% 49.49% 44.41% 42.04% 56.06% 57.94% 49.65% 46.33% 63.18% 40.56% 41.11%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

%  I/O 1.04% 0.88% 3.28% 7.59% 13.77% 1.20% 0.64% 7.09% 2.67% 1.86% 21.46% 0.23%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

Margin 11.61% 2.35% 2.26% 3.60% 2.16% 13.32% 16.52% 6.40% 4.68% 28.21% 2.57% 17.54%

A swing state leaning slightly to the left.

[DariusNJ]

Inspired by the recent statehood thread. These are the combined results of MD and DC for Presidential elections.

Year 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% D 64.72% 58.81% 59.16% 57.18% 53.38% 51.68% 51.31% 49.95% 56.05% 41.75% 48.23% 68.49%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% R 33.73% 40.01% 37.35% 35.54% 32.89% 47.39% 48.16% 41.06% 43.75% 56.98% 39.06% 31.50%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

%  I/O 1.55% 1.18% 3.49% 7.29% 13.72% 0.93% 0.52% 8.99% 0.20% 1.27% 12.72% 0.00%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

Margin 30.99% 18.80% 21.81% 21.64% 20.49% 4.30% 3.15% 8.89% 12.30% 15.23% 9.17% 36.99%

This state would be pretty much impossible for any Republican to win. DC, Baltimore and PG County would override the rest of the state. It would be like how Cook County dominates Illinois politics, except Baltimore, PG, and DC would probably have an even stronger hold.

[bgwah]

Updated with 2012 numbers.

Maryland's D swing overpowered D.C.'s R swing. It would be Obama's third best state, after Hawaii and Vermont.

[Mr.Phips]

Inspired by the recent statehood thread. These are the combined results of MD and DC for Presidential elections.

Year 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% D 64.72% 58.81% 59.16% 57.18% 53.38% 51.68% 51.31% 49.95% 56.05% 41.75% 48.23% 68.49%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

% R 33.73% 40.01% 37.35% 35.54% 32.89% 47.39% 48.16% 41.06% 43.75% 56.98% 39.06% 31.50%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

%  I/O 1.55% 1.18% 3.49% 7.29% 13.72% 0.93% 0.52% 8.99% 0.20% 1.27% 12.72% 0.00%

- - - - - - - - - - - -

Margin 30.99% 18.80% 21.81% 21.64% 20.49% 4.30% 3.15% 8.89% 12.30% 15.23% 9.17% 36.99%

This state would be pretty much impossible for any Republican to win. DC, Baltimore and PG County would override the rest of the state. It would be like how Cook County dominates Illinois politics, except Baltimore, PG, and DC would probably have an even stronger hold.

Yep.  Even Kennedy-Townsend would have won the governors race there in 2002.

[Ebowed]

Updated with 2012 numbers.

Same for Virginia+DC, with Obama hitting 53.97% to Romney's 44.45%.