If the GOP wins Congress in 2010, is Obama more or less likely to be re-elected?

[21st Century Independent]

I would go with the first choice, more than likely. Once it sinks in that there is balance in the government, the American public becomes more tolerable of the President. It happened with Clinton in 94 going on to defeat Dole handily in 96. I still remember analysts believing he would be a one-termer.

Carter was a one termer with both houses in his party's control. Bush was a one termer with his party having no control of either house. Reagan, republicans I believe had control of the Senate initially and then lost it. Of course we know the 84 result.

In 2012, if the country's financial position is in the gutter than he's out as well and Repubs gain more seats. If he wins, it will be more or less the same count, perhaps some for Repubs.