Seats the BNP is most likely to pick up?(UK)

[Kevin]

 What seats are the BNP most likely to win in this upcoming election, if any? From the Times online General election coverage they said Barking, Stoke on Kent-Central, Pendle, Epping Forest, and Burnley was where the BNP's chances were greatest. From what I see, Barking is the seat the BNP stands the greatest chance in, while I see little chance of a bunch of neo-fascists picking up the seat of the great Winston Churchill in Epping Forest.

Any opinions or insight?

[Хahar 🤔]

None. There is absolutely no cance of the BNP winning anywhere.

[Verily]

They have like a 0.1% chance to win Barking.

Not even that anywhere else.

I sort of want them to win Barking so Nick Griffin shows up on TV as the Barking MP.

[MaxQue]

I sort of want them to win Barking so Nick Griffin shows up on TV as the Barking MP.

Too bad, it wouldn't be the Barfing MP.

[minionofmidas]

I see little chance of a bunch of neo-fascists picking up the seat of the great Winston Churchill in Epping Forest.

It would be a return to past form.

[Hash]

Not this crap again.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I would have merged this into Xahar's thread, but then I'd have to change the title of it. And that would have the potential to, you know, cause offense.

[mileslunn]

Almost zero chance of them winning anything.  I could see them topping 20% or maybe even 25% in Barking, but not enough to win it outright.  They only win in EU elections and local elections due to the low turnout thus there are enough racists out there that if they show up in large numbers one can win without having broad support.  With national elections tending to have higher turnouts, I cannot see this happening, never mind the fact it is a three way race will probably hurt the smaller parties if anything. 

Besides, even though most Brits want less immigration and favour assimilation over multiculturalism, I don't think most think all non-White people should be kicked out of Britain including those born there.  The BNP is about as extreme as one can get.  In many ways it is Britain's version of the Ku Klux Klan or Nazi Party.

[Harry Hayfield]

BNP Battleground 2010
1) Burnley 14.10%
2) Dewsbury 14.67%
3) Pendle 15.44%
4) Ochil and South Perthshire 15.68%
5) Dudley North 15.82%

Barking is ranked as number 10 on a 16.67% swing

[k-onmmunist]

None. Nada. Zilch. Nothing. No chance. Zip.

[k-onmmunist]

The BNP is about as extreme as one can get.  In many ways it is Britain's version of the Ku Klux Klan or Nazi Party.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_National_Front

[You kip if you want to...]

The BNP makes me feel physically sick.
linky

[minionofmidas]

BNP Battleground 2010
1) Burnley 14.10%
2) Dewsbury 14.67%
3) Pendle 15.44%
4) Ochil and South Perthshire 15.68%
5) Dudley North 15.82%

Barking is ranked as number 10 on a 16.67% swing

Highly misleading because the territory in B&Dag Boro where they tend to do best in in council elections (and there's reason to assume they'll do well there now, too) is the very area transferred from Dagenham constituency to Barking constituency this year...

Oh, and because Ochil is only on there because it was the seat won with the lowest percentage of any in the UK (a Labour-SNP-Con threeway with a semirespectable LD presence too).

[Verily]

And Burnley is only on there because it had a strong independent in 2005 who dampened the major party votes.

(Also, how is Ochil even on that list? The BNP didn't run a candidate in 2005 and isn't doing so this year.)

[minionofmidas]

And Burnley is only on there because it had a strong independent in 2005 who dampened the major party votes.

Nyes. Burnley is only on top of the list on account of that, but it is a strong BNP constituency... and they'd've probably been stronger if it wasn't for Burnley First.

Party    Candidate    Votes    %    ±%
   Labour    Kitty Ussher    14,999    38.5    -10.8
   Liberal Democrat    Gordon Birtwistle    9,221    23.7    +7.5
   Burnley First Independent    Harry Brooks    5,786    14.8    N/A
   Conservative    Yousuf Miah    4,206    10.8    -10.1
   BNP    Len Starr    4,003    10.3    -1.0