pragmatic liberal
Jr. Member
Posts: 520
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« on: March 26, 2010, 03:27:14 PM » |
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Look, nobody knows what the political climate is going to look like in 2012. Remember that Clinton's and Reagan's ratings were awful throughout their first term (and especially at midterm), and they both won solid reelections. George H.W. Bush enjoyed 60+ approval ratings throughout nearly his ENTIRE TERM, but was undone in his final 6 months by a poor economy.
That being said, a lot of Republicans - and libertarian nuts - are getting awfully premature. The GOP may well make major gains in 2010, maybe even taking the House. But 2012 is a different matter altogether. What they are ignoring is that Obama's approvals have been steadily between 45-50% since last September. And if Obama's ratings are near 50% at the height of the worst recession since the Depression, that's a sign he's hit his floor and its fairly high. Even a moderate recovery would put his ratings in the mid-50s, guaranteeing a second term.
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