Probably more like 1996, although it's certainly possible for Obama to substantially outperform as HCR grows in popularity and the economy begins to recover by 2012.
How can something that isn't even going into effect until 2014 gain any popularity?
That's what I was thinking. Basically the process for the bill's implementation will add further to the national debt. The government is going to have to eventually print more money with the current debt, and that will lead to an increase in inflation. High levels of inflation will drive the United States back into another recession, and Obama will be back in Chicago come January 2013.
