IL: Rasmussen: Kirk (R) Leads Giannoulias by 4%
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  IL: Rasmussen: Kirk (R) Leads Giannoulias by 4%
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Author Topic: IL: Rasmussen: Kirk (R) Leads Giannoulias by 4%  (Read 646 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« on: April 09, 2010, 10:07:51 AM »

Mark Kirk (R) 41%
Alexi Giannoulias (D) 37%
Some other candidate 8%
Not Sure 13%


Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2010/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=17300201045016
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perdedor
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2010, 11:13:34 AM »

What's the chance of a serious independent challenger? If slim, then I highly doubt that 21% that's not dedicated to either major candidate is going to break for Kirk, this is Illinois after all.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2010, 11:40:16 AM »

Lets see what R2K poll has, there is a poll coming out very soon in Illinois, the Ramussen and OH polls conflict with R2K, I think this will be the same in Illinois.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2010, 03:33:34 PM »

Lets see what R2K poll has, there is a poll coming out very soon in Illinois, the Ramussen and OH polls conflict with R2K, I think this will be the same in Illinois.

Of course they conflict, you are reading the polls the wrong way. You have to look at that firms previous poll and find the trends and then compare the trends across the polling firms, not compare current numbers to each other, compare trendlines. The firms are using different models and as such otherwise you are getting an incomplete picture of what is happening.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #4 on: April 13, 2010, 08:50:51 PM »

Quote
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Kirk outraised G-man 2-1 in 1st quarter.
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