When will the U.S. lose its Christian majority?

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Not anytime soon.

Religious people, tend to have higher fertility rates and thus while there might be some secular kids, the majority will stay religious.

True, and regardless of what the young folks here think many so called "atheist" teens will turn back to their religious roots once they start having children of their own, it's pretty much a given.

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Not until the end of the century, if then.

Not anytime soon.

Religious people, tend to have higher fertility rates and thus while there might be some secular kids, the majority will stay religious.

True, and regardless of what the young folks here think many so called "atheist" teens will turn back to their religious roots once they start having children of their own, it's pretty much a given.

Even if the 'godlessness' of my generation is overplayed, each succeeding generation generally turn out less religious than their predecessors, however.  I see no reason to think why mine will somehow buck this trend.  

Proof? I doubt religious identity would have even broken 70% even two hundred years ago.

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Not until the end of the century, if then.

Not anytime soon.

Religious people, tend to have higher fertility rates and thus while there might be some secular kids, the majority will stay religious.

True, and regardless of what the young folks here think many so called "atheist" teens will turn back to their religious roots once they start having children of their own, it's pretty much a given.

Even if the 'godlessness' of my generation is overplayed, each succeeding generation generally turn out less religious than their predecessors, however.  I see no reason to think why mine will somehow buck this trend.  

Proof? I doubt religious identity would have even broken 70% even two hundred years ago.

Here it is.

It's a youth thing I promise. Most young folks, like many here, question their faith once they get out from under their parents wings, then, as they age and have children they usually come home.

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So? The deists that probably would have made up the bulk of non-identifiers then were much different than the atheists/agnostics who make up the bulk of non-identifiers today. It's hard to deny that religious authorities in most of the country today are much weaker than they were 200 years ago.

Many dislike organized religion, they don't dislike the belief in God or an afterlife.

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So? The deists that probably would have made up the bulk of non-identifiers then were much different than the atheists/agnostics who make up the bulk of non-identifiers today. It's hard to deny that religious authorities in most of the country today are much weaker than they were 200 years ago.

Many dislike organized religion, they don't dislike the belief in God or an afterlife.

     Not disliking has anything to do with it. Unless you are trying to suggest that bulk of the irreligious today are in fact deists, you aren't really making any sort of point here.

Because it's nothing worth worrying about religion will come back, it's in no threat of disappearing.

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     I agree with that, though I suppose the issue is that you are talking about organized religion specifically while I am talking about Christianity specifically. While it happens that there have always been people who reject organized religion, I do not think it would be controversial to suggest that apathy towards or rejection of the Christian God is more socially acceptable now than it ever has been in the past.

That doesn't suggest permanence. Religion might surge back in the next twenty years, it's happened plenty of other times in history.

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Regardless, 74% is still an overwhelming majority. The answer to the question is not in the lifetime of anyone on the forum.

That doesn't prove that a major shift couldn't happen.

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Regardless, 74% is still an overwhelming majority. The answer to the question is not in the lifetime of anyone on the forum.

That doesn't prove that a major shift couldn't happen.

Moving the goal post a little?

No, I stand by what I say.

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Alcon my friend I never claimed that. I just went back a re-read the entire thread. What I said is that I doubted that religious I'd was ever really above 70%.

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Within 100 years, I believe that the majority of the population of the United States will either declare to be agnostic, or in essence be agnostic.... as many people already are.  (those people who through family or going strictly by holidays they observe might identify themselves with a certain religion... but when honestly asked about God, the afterlife, etc., give the very agnostic answer of "I really don't know"). 

How much you want to put on that?