AZ: Rasmussen: McCain leads

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: Arizona Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-04-14

Summary: D: 32%, R: 54%, I: 8%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[CARLHAYDEN]

Expansion (with key parts boldfaced(:

Election 2010: Arizona Republican Primary for Senate
Arizona Republican Primary for Senate: McCain 47%, Hayworth 42%
Friday, April 16, 2010

Incumbent John McCain now earns just 47% support to challenger J.D. Hayworth’s 42% in Arizona’s hotly contested Republican Senate Primary race, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely primary voters.

McCain has been losing ground since January when he picked up 53% of the potential GOP Primary vote and Hayworth had only 31% support. Last month, the longtime senator and 2008 GOP presidential candidate earned 48% of the vote, while 41% of likely primary voters supported his challenger.

Any incumbent who is earning less than 50% of the vote at this stage of the campaign is considered vulnerable. Arizona Republicans will pick their candidate in an August 24 primary. Businessman Rodney Glassman has now formally announced as a Democratic Senate candidate, and Rasmussen Reports will release its first numbers matching him against the two Republicans later today.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of GOP Primary voters in Arizona think the recently-passed national health care bill should be repealed, with 78% who strongly favor repeal. Fifty percent (50%) of those who strongly favor repeal support Hayworth; 41% of those voters support McCain.

Eighty percent (80%) of primary voters say their own views on the major issues of the day are closer to the views of the average Tea Party member than to those of President Obama. Forty-two percent (42%) of those voters back McCain, while 49% support Hayworth. Among the 10% of primary voters who say their views are closer to the president's, McCain earns 68% of the vote, Hayworth 16%.

Hayworth has been especially critical of McCain’s leading role in the failed comprehensive immigration reform effort in 2006 and 2007, saying it was mainly intended to give amnesty to illegal immigrants, a charge his opponent has denied.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republican Primary voters in the state say gaining control of the border is more important than legalizing the status of undocumented workers. Only 11% think legalization is more important. Ninety-one percent (91%) say a candidate’s position on immigration is at least somewhat important to how they will vote, with 67% who say it is very important.

[Eraserhead]

The movement from the last poll wasn't statistically relevant.

[Lief 🗽]

Still, 47% to 42% is a pretty terrible place to be, especially with the primary not for another four months.

[Eraserhead]

Still, 47% to 42% is a pretty terrible place to be, especially with the primary not for another four months.

Yeah, if it's accurate. It probably isn't.