Vepres' FINAL House Prediction Thread (user search)
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  Vepres' FINAL House Prediction Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Vepres' FINAL House Prediction Thread  (Read 14452 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« on: June 25, 2010, 04:53:01 PM »
« edited: June 25, 2010, 05:00:08 PM by Mr.Phips »
NY-19 tossup/Tilt Republican, CT-05 and NY-20 only "tilt Democratic"  NJ-12 and OR-01 only lean Democratic?  Come on now.  
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2010, 02:29:01 PM »
KY-03 at only lean Democratic?  That is a pretty Democratic district and the Republican candidate is a joke there. 
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« Reply #2 on: July 11, 2010, 04:34:12 PM »
Quote from: ICE HOCKEY on July 11, 2010, 03:42:35 PM
PA-07 as Tossup/Tilt GOP???  NOPE!  I'd have it Tilt/Lean Dem if anything.

I actually somewhat agree with Vepres' rating of that race.  If Sestak hadnt stupidly run for Senate and ran for reelection, it would have been Likely D or maybe not even on any lists. 
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« Reply #3 on: July 12, 2010, 05:57:20 PM »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on July 12, 2010, 06:39:43 AM
FL-22 is one of the most polarized districts in the country, and West has been raising ridiculous amounts of money (thanks to BaseConnect, although he seems to be the one candidate they let keep most of the money). I think it's fair to call it a tossup.

Are elderly Jewish voters really going to vote for an eccentric African American over one of their own?
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2010, 08:11:37 PM »
HI-01 at tilt Republican?  Did you see the turnout numbers for that in the primary?  The Democratic candidate had 80,000(100,000 total voted in the Dem primary) votes in the primary alone, while Djou got just 20,000(he was the only candidate in the primary).  If Hanabusa can the votes of her Democratic primary opponent, there is no way Djou even comes close to winning. 
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,546
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2010, 04:16:21 PM »
If your prediction is anything close to true, the Democratic party is simply finished for a generation. 
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