The 2004 Election Prediction Map Contest

[Huckleberry Finn]

It seems that I'm not able to add the map, but here is my prediction.

Bush over 60:
Wyoming, Utah, Idaho

Bush over 55:
Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, South Carolina, Indiana, Kentucky, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana, Alaska

Bush over 50
North Carolina, Louisiana, Tennessee

Bush wins but gets less than 50
West Virginia, Virginia, Arkansas, Missouri, Colorado, Arizona

Kerry wins but gets less than 50
Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico, Nevada

Kerry over 50
Maine, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Oregon

Kerry over 55
Vermont, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland
Illinois, California, Washington, Hawaii

Kerry over 60
Massachusetts, Rhone Island, New York, D.C

[Huckleberry Finn]

It seems that I'm not able to add the map, but here is my prediction.

Bush over 60:
Wyoming, Utah, Idaho

Bush over 55:
Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, South Carolina, Indiana, Kentucky, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana, Alaska

Bush over 50
North Carolina, Louisiana, Tennessee

Bush wins but gets less than 50
West Virginia, Virginia, Arkansas, Missouri, Colorado, Arizona

Kerry wins but gets less than 50
Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico, Nevada

Kerry over 50
Maine, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Oregon

Kerry over 55
Vermont, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland
Illinois, California, Washington, Hawaii

Kerry over 60
Massachusetts, Rhone Island, New York, D.C

I predicted 19 states correctly.

Utah, Idaho, Wyoming, Montana, South Dakota, Mississippi, Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, , Maine, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Oregon, Maryland, Vermont, Massachusetts and D,C

My best line was Kerry over 50 (less than 55) I predicted all six right.

And I predicted the right winner in 45 states. I was over-optimistic, because I did my prediction during the voting. I thought that the high turnout would have helped Kerry.