The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
Posts: 4,660
Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21
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« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2005, 04:49:59 PM » |
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I got only two states "wrong" - in the sense that I fundementally had the race projected incorrectly.
I though Bush had a legit shot in Minnesota, I figured it was basically dead even in that state. - I was wrong.
Kerry ended up winning Minnesota by about 3.48%, so I'll take my lumps on Minnesota.
Kerry also carried Michigan by only 3.42% - I firgured Kerry was up 4-6% or so, so I missed in Michigan too. I had the right winner, by I did indeed have the state fundementally pegged wrong.
I also technically got Iowa and Wisconsin "wrong" - I actually had both states as basically dead even, which they were (both states were within 1%) but to be fair, I did call both of these states for the wrong guy.
I basically nail the big three however, I had Bush up by 4=>6 in Florida and it was actually 5%, and I had Bush up maginally in Ohio, and Kerry up marginally in Pennsylvania
Also, the "Battleground" state of New Jersey came in at Kerry + 6.68%, pretty darn close to my projection of Kerry by about 8% or so.
I got Iowa and Wisconsin wrong in 2000 as well...
Of the 4 states I missed (Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota) are all grouped together geographically...
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