Blue Rectangle
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,683
Political Matrix E: 8.50, S: -0.62
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2004, 04:08:04 PM » |
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« Edited: November 03, 2004, 04:17:58 PM by Blue Rectangle »
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I overestimated Bush in the EC: WI, NH and ME-2, but those were all very close.
I underestimated Bush in the PV: +2.5%.
What I can't figure is how Bush broke +3% in the PV but came close to losing the EV. His numbers in CA and NY, for instance, were not that much higher this year, so where did all those votes go?
Edit: NY shows Kerry's margin was 500,000 votes less than Gore's, so that accounts for some of the difference in the PV.
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