Kerry 291 Bush 247
Thanks Al
Dave
This map represents an average of state polls taken on the Sunday of each week since the DNC.
I have not taken into account any third candidates and have assumed that undecideds will split by 2 to 1 in Kerry's favour.
Alabama: Bush 59 Kerry 41
Alaska: Bush 61 Kerry 39
Arizona: Bush 53 Kerry 47
California: Bush 44 Kerry 56
Colorado: Bush 50.5 Kerry 49.5
Connecticut: Bush 43 Kerry 57
Delaware: Bush 44 Kerry 56
D.C.: Bush 13 Kerry 87
Florida: Bush 49.8 Kerry 50.2
Georgia: Bush 57 Kerry 43
Hawaii: Bush 44 Kerry 56
Idaho: Bush 62 Kerry 38
Illinois: Bush 42 Kerry 58
Indiana: Bush 57 Kerry 43
Iowa: Bush 49 Kerry 51
Kansas: Bush 60 Kerry 40
Kentucky: Bush 57 Kerry 43
Louisiana: Bush 55 Kerry 45
Maine: Bush 47 Kerry 53
Maryland: Bush 44 Kerry 56
Massachusetts: Bush 35 Kerry 65
Michigan: Bush 46 Kerry 54
Minnesota: Bush 47.5 Kerry 52.5
Mississippi: Bush 59 Kerry 41
Missouri: Bush 51 Kerry 49
Montana: Bush 59 Kerry 41
Nebraska: Bush 64 Kerry 36
Nevada: Bush 50.5 Kerry 49.5
New Hampshire: Bush 48 Kerry 52
New Jersey: Bush 46 Kerry 54
New Mexico: Bush 48 Kerry 52
New York: Bush 39 Kerry 61
North Dakota: Bush 62 Kerry 38
Ohio: Bush 50.2 Kerry 49.8
Oklahoma: Bush 62 Kerry 38
Oregon: Bush 47 Kerry 53
Pennsylvania: Bush 48 Kerry 52
Rhode Island: Bush 38 Kerry 62
South Carolina: Bush 56 Kerry 44
South Dakota: Bush 56 Kerry 44
Tennessee: Bush 54 Kerry 46
Texas: Bush 59 Kerry 41
Utah: Bush 70 Kerry 30
Vermont: Bush 42 Kerry 58
Virginia: Bush 52 Kerry 48
Washington: Bush 46 Kerry 54
West Virginia: Bush 50.2 Kerry 49.8
Wisconsin: Bush 49.8 Kerry 50.2
Wyoming: Bush 69 Kerry 31
I'm anticipating that Nader's vote will be negligible.
I'm no pollster so I guess a margin of error on my state predictions of 4%
Dave
