Campaign Spot House Race Analysis

[Sam Spade]

I think it's actually a pretty good list for what the Republican partisan should be aware of if a wave appears.  A couple of the choices are strange, and I don't agree, but whatever.

[Sam Spade]

I read the first article and not the second, Lunar, FWIW, because I didn't see the link.   

Looks like I made the correct choice.  The second article is rather silly.

[Sam Spade]

I read the first article and not the second, Lunar, FWIW, because I didn't see the link.   

Looks like I made the correct choice.  The second article is rather silly.

It is hard to see something that wasn't there typically. I added it later.

Trying to make me look like an idiot, eh! 

[Sam Spade]

Of course, maybe Arcuri has been completely tarnished by what happened in 2008.

[Sam Spade]

Of course, maybe Arcuri has been completely tarnished by what happened in 2008.

mmm?

Tarnished is not the best word, scarred is better.  Whatever...

[Sam Spade]

This list actually had Shelley Berkley listed as vulnerable in the inner city Las Vegas district.  Does this guy realize that the current NV-01 isnt even close to being like the district that she won in 1998 and John Ensign represented for four years in the 1990's?

That was one of about four on the list that I thought was pretty ridiculous, as mentioned above.

[Sam Spade]

Phil Hare? LOL.

Arcuri is an idiot, plain and simple. The fact that the guy is considering retirement when he's only been in two terms and isn't that old is quite amusing but frankly we'd probably have a better chance with someone else.

Phil Hare is not completely ridiculous actually to put on a watch list now.  Unlike thinking that NV-01, CA-51 or MA-06 should be watched right now or should be put on any real list.  Or putting Phil Hare in TN-06 territory.

[Sam Spade]

Phil Hare? LOL.

Arcuri is an idiot, plain and simple. The fact that the guy is considering retirement when he's only been in two terms and isn't that old is quite amusing but frankly we'd probably have a better chance with someone else.

Phil Hare is not completely ridiculous actually to put on a watch list now.  Unlike thinking that NV-01, CA-51 or MA-06 should be watched right now or should be put on any real list.  Or putting Phil Hare in TN-06 territory.

Phil Hare is in a district that was gerrymandered to put every possible Democratic county and precinct in Central and Western Illinois in one district.  He isnt going anywhere.   This isnt the district that Lane Evans held in the 1990's.  Its a good five points more Democratic. 

Oh, it hasn't made my list yet.  But if 100 seats fall - expect it to be there. 

Btw, it's only D+3 fyi with Obama at top, which really isn't that Dem in my book (though I understand it has more history as Dem, and all that).