Campaign Spot House Race Analysis

[JohnnyLongtorso]

I'm pretty sure Arcuri is dead meat at this point, I'm just waiting to see an independent poll to confirm it.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

I can see Phil Hare losing in a really, really bad year, but if that were to happen, we're talking 80-90 seat loss. His district isn't that Democratic, but his opponent isn't top-tier, just a Generic Republican Businessman.

Shelly Berkeley losing, however, is ridiculous. Quoting unemployment statistics as if that's just going to magically override everything else is silly, and if you've looked at the quality of candidates running against her, you'd know she's not going anywhere.