2004- What would have happend if there was diffrent canidates?

[hcallega]

as far as Dean I would say between a 3-5% swing in favor of Bush. He was a good candidate in some ways, awful in others. I think Bush's campaign language would be different and more focused on pounding Dean's remarks on the war rather than how he hit Kerry on personal issues.

If Clark was the nominee it's practically impossible to predict what would happen. On the surface he appears to be a better candidate than Kerry. He was a general, moderate, southerner, etc. But as was made apparent by the '04 primary race he was a very weak campaigner on the trail and was unnable to roll in the big bucks. So it's also possible that he would loose by a wider or simmilar margin.

[hcallega]

Here are my predictions:

Dean

Bush/Cheney (R): 342 EVs, 54% of the PV
Dean/Vilsack (D): 196 EVs, 44% of the PV