ND-AL/Rasmussen: Berg (R) beats Rep. Pomeroy (D) by 9

[Tender Branson]

Rick Berg (R): 52%
Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D): 43%

Favorables:

Berg: 56% favorable, 27% unfavorable
Pomeroy: 49% favorable, 50% unfavorable

link

[Mjh]

oh dear oh dear oh dear

It looks like there will be two new Republicans in  the North Dakota Congressional delegation.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     I am astounded that only 1% of persons polled did not register either a positive or negative opinion of Pomeroy, let alone this far from election day. That's the sort of response rate I would expect for someone like Hillary Clinton, not some random incumbent Representative.

[Lief 🗽]

     I am astounded that only 1% of persons polled did not register either a positive or negative opinion of Pomeroy, let alone this far from election day. That's the sort of response rate I would expect for someone like Hillary Clinton, not some random incumbent Representative.

Such things are the norm in Rasmussenland.

[Joe Republic]

     I am astounded that only 1% of persons polled did not register either a positive or negative opinion of Pomeroy, let alone this far from election day. That's the sort of response rate I would expect for someone like Hillary Clinton, not some random incumbent Representative.

Such things are the norm in Rasmussenland.

As Nate Silver pointed out regarding Rassy's Wisconsin poll a few days ago, apparently 68% of likely voters have already formed an opinion of Feingold's leading Republican opponent; a small businessman from Oshkosh who announced his candidacy two weeks ago, and doesn't yet have a website.

Rasmussen has very much become the elephant in the room (in more ways than one) among mainstream pollsters.

[cinyc]

     I am astounded that only 1% of persons polled did not register either a positive or negative opinion of Pomeroy, let alone this far from election day. That's the sort of response rate I would expect for someone like Hillary Clinton, not some random incumbent Representative.

That the likely voters of a small state with little net migration would have an opinion of their 9-term sole Congressman isn't terribly surprising.   The sole congressman from a small state is as much a celebrity as your typical Senator.  He or she should be universally known unless the state suffers from being in the shadow of another state in the dominant media market - like Delaware.  North Dakota doesn't have that problem, being split into 2 small (a.k.a. cheap) TV markets that cover the whole state.  Plus, those on the Plains probably pay closer attention to politics than the rest of us.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Its now Berg 51% Pomeroy 44%

[Associate Justice PiT]

Its now Berg 51% Pomeroy 44%

     Essentially no movement. It's still very early, but bad news for Pomeroy all the same.

[Mr.Phips]

I want to see another poll besides Rasmussen here. 

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I want to see another poll besides Rasmussen here. 

If you call up SurveyUSA, I am sure they would be glad to do a poll for you provided you pay up $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$


I am sure they could use the business. Also be sure to have them ask approvals on Kent Conrad while they are at it.

[Sam Spade]

Pomeroy has always been the weakest of the national Dems from ND.  By far.

I would be kinda shocked if the race wasn't close, especially considering Herseth-Sandlin is polling pretty poorly as well and she's a stronger candidate fundamentally. (we do have a PPP poll from there from earlier, so not all Rasmussen)

Whether Rasmussen is correct about the exact numbers - who knows.  Just saying.