Revised Predictions...?

[The Vorlon]

Has anybody changed any of their state predictions, and if so... why?

[The Vorlon]

I predicted in November 2003 that Bush would win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, and Iowa, and nothing has changed since then to change my mind. The dynamics of the race have essentially stayed the same since the 2002 elections.

I don't expect anything to change until November. The world has become so predictable.

Don't change 'em.  That's my game.  Vorlon's game is more serious, though.  Following the polls and such.  I respect that.  Glad to see that the march13th update finally materialized.  But it's chickensheet, because you left three of them blank.  I this material won't merit an A.

"I'm just being honest."
        --Outkast

Ok... I've called em' all.. happy now..?

[The Vorlon]

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Yes, I did change my map a bit, that would be why they are called "revised" predictions.

Bush has firmed up a lot in the underlying numbers this week, so I have taken it from a very narrow Kerry win to a very narrow Bush win...

There are realy about 10 states that are too close to call right now...

Next week, I'll likely change back...

Enjoy & have a great day!

[The Vorlon]

Has anybody changed any of their state predictions, and if so... why?

I last changed mine on 3/5 when Kerry became the presumptive nominee after Super Tuesday. I expect I'll wait until Kerry names his VP to update the map again.

Vorlon, I'm also fascinated that other than OR and WV, your new map matches my map of 3/5. I do agree with you on the possibility of IA and WI, but not MN going to Bush.

Depending on your perspective.. it's either "great minds think alike" or "Fools rarely differ"..