11/01 Track; Zogby Bush+1

[pollwatch99-a]

http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=K1BCM0YMBRJT0CRBAEZSFFA?type=topNews&storyID=6675160

[Umengus]

a pro-kerry sample dropped (Vorlon said I think) and hence, the lead of Bush is not a surprise.

[J. J.]

And it's Zogby.

[Umengus]

And it's Zogby.

[pollwatch99-a]

a pro-kerry sample dropped (Vorlon said I think) and hence, the lead of Bush is not a surprise.

actually the strong Pro Kerry sample( per Zogby on TV) was Friday.  Drops the last poll but if you get a strong Kerry today( Dem's believe that undecideds will all move to challenger), it could counter balance

[Umengus]

a pro-kerry sample dropped (Vorlon said I think) and hence, the lead of Bush is not a surprise.

actually the strong Pro Kerry sample( per Zogby on TV) was Friday.  Drops the last poll but if you get a strong Kerry today( Dem's believe that undecideds will all move to challenger), it could counter balance

ok but tomorrow then. And the condition is that Bush hasn't a (false?) pro-bush day (today or yesterday)

[The Vorlon]

a pro-kerry sample dropped (Vorlon said I think) and hence, the lead of Bush is not a surprise.

Assuming I am right, actually the strongly Pro-Kerry sample drops tonight, of course with Zogby you never go know.

Zogby also "allocates the undecided" tonight which is a fancy way of saying he makes his best guess as to what the final result will be and publishes that number, actual data be damned.

Kerry will go up in The 'Bot today as a strong Bush sample drops, I think WAPO stays the same, Bush should move up in Fox, TIPP has me totally confused so I just don't know..

In fact "I just don't know" is now my official saying on all of these...

[Whacker77]

Well if Zogby allocates undecideds tonight, Kerry will lead tomorrow.  All along, Zogby has said that they were going to break in an unreal fashion towards Kerry.  Regardless, I don't like Zogby and I hope he gets his clock cleaned this year.  Sorry, that's just how I feel.