LA: Rasmussen: Vitter still heavy favorite

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: Louisiana Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-6-24

Summary: D: 35%, R: 53%, I: 3%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Badger]

"Family values", southern style. <sigh>

[Mr.Phips]

Another idiotic decision by a Democrat to give up a safe House seat in order to be a lamb to be slaughtered in a Senate race.

[SvenssonRS]

Another idiotic decision by a Democrat to give up a safe House seat in order to be a lamb to be slaughtered in a Senate race.

It may not be so pointless. Depending on how hard Traylor fights in the primary, Vitter may come into the general election a bit pummeled. It's an incredibly long shot, but Melancon has a vague chance.

[The Mikado]

Another idiotic decision by a Democrat to give up a safe House seat in order to be a lamb to be slaughtered in a Senate race.

Idiotic?  Why would Melancon benefit from staying in the House another two years until he's driven out by redistricting?  This way he can cash out, get into the private sector, and take a cushy lobbying gig 2 years earlier.  Makes a lot of sense to me.

[Mr.Phips]

Another idiotic decision by a Democrat to give up a safe House seat in order to be a lamb to be slaughtered in a Senate race.

Idiotic?  Why would Melancon benefit from staying in the House another two years until he's driven out by redistricting?  This way he can cash out, get into the private sector, and take a cushy lobbying gig 2 years earlier.  Makes a lot of sense to me.

I dont see how he would be driven out in redistricting.  He is the only Democrat left in the delegation and would probably beat Boustany if their districts were combined.

[Badger]

Another idiotic decision by a Democrat to give up a safe House seat in order to be a lamb to be slaughtered in a Senate race.

Idiotic?  Why would Melancon benefit from staying in the House another two years until he's driven out by redistricting?  This way he can cash out, get into the private sector, and take a cushy lobbying gig 2 years earlier.  Makes a lot of sense to me.

I dont see how he would be driven out in redistricting.  He is the only Democrat left in the delegation and would probably beat Boustany if their districts were combined.

First he won't be the only Dem after 2010 as, no matter how bad a year the Dems have Cao is still a dead man walking. The Voting rights act won't allow a division of a minority-majority district around New Orleans.

What kind of redistricting map do you see for him to have a good shot against Boustany, especially in a presidential election year?