Will the Tories ever make a comeback in Scotland?
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  Will the Tories ever make a comeback in Scotland?
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Author Topic: Will the Tories ever make a comeback in Scotland?  (Read 1151 times)
Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« on: July 02, 2010, 02:23:38 PM »

As most people who read this thread will probably know, the Tories have only one seat in Scotland, and even that is on the English border. They have gained very little to no ground since 1997.

I'll say no.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2010, 02:47:43 PM »

People need to stop using the word ever when they ask questions like this.
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afleitch
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« Reply #2 on: July 02, 2010, 02:54:52 PM »

I'll give a long answer to this later.

In terms of Holyrood then yes; they already have done. Secondly the landscape has changed; the right wing of the SNP win in former Tory areas; the Tories natural constituency has moved somewhat. It's just taken a long time for the party to realise this (and some still haven't)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #3 on: July 02, 2010, 03:00:41 PM »

The question is complicated by the very unusual history of the Tories in Scotland; they've never really been 'stable' for more than a few decades. It's pretty clear that they will never be able to return to where they were (in the guise of the Unionists) in the 1950s, but then we should remember that that was not typical and should not be used as a benchmark.
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JoeBrayson
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« Reply #4 on: July 03, 2010, 12:08:24 PM »

Considering that they didn't make any progress at all, compared to the rest of the UK at the general election, I'd doubt that they would gain any more seats in Scotland for the foreseeable future. If they are unpopular by the time of the next election, then they would lose their remaining seat in DCT. As for next years Scottish Parliament Election the same applies with them IMHO losing Eastwood (notional) to Labour, Berwickshire to LibDems and possibly Ayr to Labour. They should hold on to Edinburgh Pentlands and Dunfriesshire & Upper Nithsdale, but I won't be at all surprised if they lost those either so they could end up having zero constituency seats and very few list seats.
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« Reply #5 on: July 03, 2010, 01:20:32 PM »

Did anyone see the small exchange between Cameron and the random Scottish Labour MP at PMQs this week? Tongue Amusing.
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