AZ-08: Internal Paton (R) poll shows him ahead by 1 against Rep. Giffords (D)

[Tender Branson]

Jonathan Paton (R): 45%
Gabrielle Giffords (D): 44%

The poll of 300 "likely" voters, conduced by the Tarrance Group and paid for by the Paton campaign, has a margin of error of 5.8 percent, putting the two in a statistical tie.

http://www.tucsonsentinel.com/local/report/071510_paton_giffords_poll

[ajc0918]

Paton is a good candidate, imo.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     Giffords is favored at the moment, but this should be a race to watch as the campaign drags on.

[minionofmidas]

Looks more like it *might become* one.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     Well I meant a race to watch in the sense that we should wait & see if it becomes competitive.

[Bo]

I hope the DCCC pours a lot into this race.

BTW, do you know they dated in high school (I believe)?

[Tender Branson]

BTW, do you know they dated in high school (I believe)?

LOL.

I hope Giffords isn´t wiped out by the Brewer coattails in November.

[Tender Branson]

The Tarrance Group isn´t probably worth much. Read this:

Few expect Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D, Md.) to lose this November, but a recent poll by Tarrance Group, a Republican polling firm, gives Eric Wargotz a 34–31 percent lead over the incumbent. In light of this poll, Wargotz has pledged an additional $500,000 to his campaign.

http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YTg5YzViMmJlYmQ1ZWI0ZDM0YjVmY2YyYjk5N2ZjZTA=

That comes when Rasmussen and PPP have released polls recently that have Mikulski ahead by 30% against Wargotz ...

[ajc0918]

BTW, do you know they dated in high school (I believe)?

That's funny. haha

[nhmagic]

Yes they did date and were great friends in high school.  Its a shame that Giffords isnt conservative - she would really appeal to the state in lots of ways, but instead shes too liberal for the district shes in (R+4). She isnt anything even close to a centrist democrat.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Paton had a pretty crappy fundraising quarter -- after raising a ridiculous amount of money in 1Q, he only pulled in $167k this time. Not much farther ahead of his primary opponent Jesse Kelly, who raised $122k. He's going to have to do a lot better to beat Gabby and her $2.2 million.

[timmer123]

The Tarrance Group isn´t probably worth much. Read this:

Few expect Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D, Md.) to lose this November, but a recent poll by Tarrance Group, a Republican polling firm, gives Eric Wargotz a 34–31 percent lead over the incumbent. In light of this poll, Wargotz has pledged an additional $500,000 to his campaign.

http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YTg5YzViMmJlYmQ1ZWI0ZDM0YjVmY2YyYjk5N2ZjZTA=

That comes when Rasmussen and PPP have released polls recently that have Mikulski ahead by 30% against Wargotz ...

That was a poll of Baltimore County, not the state as a whole

[Dgov]

The Tarrance Group isn´t probably worth much. Read this:

Few expect Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D, Md.) to lose this November, but a recent poll by Tarrance Group, a Republican polling firm, gives Eric Wargotz a 34–31 percent lead over the incumbent. In light of this poll, Wargotz has pledged an additional $500,000 to his campaign.

http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YTg5YzViMmJlYmQ1ZWI0ZDM0YjVmY2YyYjk5N2ZjZTA=

That comes when Rasmussen and PPP have released polls recently that have Mikulski ahead by 30% against Wargotz ...

That was a poll of Baltimore County, not the state as a whole

Although Baltimore County is only about 6 or so points more Conservative than the state as a whole (56.5% Obama vs. 62% Statewide)

[SPQR]

LOL @ the two candidates having dated (is that a first?) and at an internal poll showing a oh-so-tactical 1 point lead.

[feeblepizza]

Giffords has had this coming to her for a long, long time. Paton 2010