Colorado Republican Primary Predictions
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 02:15:50 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Colorado Republican Primary Predictions
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Poll
Question: Who will win the race for Governor/Senator for Republicans?
#1
Maes/Buck
 
#2
Maes/Norton
 
#3
McInnis/Buck
 
#4
McInnis/Norton
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 23

Author Topic: Colorado Republican Primary Predictions  (Read 2591 times)
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 02, 2010, 01:53:16 PM »
« edited: August 02, 2010, 04:00:13 PM by Mideast Assemblyman A-Bob »

Discuss.

I think it will be Maes/Buck. The majority of the counties are mail in which means Maes' supporters which are the grassroots will all vote, while McInnis' supporters are less likely mainly due to the fact they aren't as energized in such a large mass.

I think Buck will beat Norton, the birther comment has passed over, not to mention Norton illegally aired the video of Buck talking about Weld County bullsh*t on his cow boy boots by stealing it from a blog. I think that margin will be at least a few points, maybe up to 10 if this week just continues to be awesome for Buck.
Logged
Obscure
Rookie
**
Posts: 67
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2010, 02:53:32 PM »

I agree, Maes/Buck


I think Buck will beat Norton, the birther comment has passed over, not to mention Norton illegally aired the video of Buck talking about Weld County bullsh**t on his cow boy books by stealing it from a blog. I think that margin will be at least a few points, maybe up to 10 if this week just continues to be awesome for Buck.

I originally wanted Norton to win, but after reading that I might have to reconsider. I'm not a huge fan of politicians who run a dirty campaign against someone from their own party. I'm not even sure it would be safe for her to run such a campaign against a Democrat, considering it may expose her as being ignorant. Not to mention Buck seems to have a better chance at winning the overall election anyways.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2010, 03:59:50 PM »

I agree, Maes/Buck


I think Buck will beat Norton, the birther comment has passed over, not to mention Norton illegally aired the video of Buck talking about Weld County bullsh**t on his cow boy books by stealing it from a blog. I think that margin will be at least a few points, maybe up to 10 if this week just continues to be awesome for Buck.

I originally wanted Norton to win, but after reading that I might have to reconsider. I'm not a huge fan of politicians who run a dirty campaign against someone from their own party. I'm not even sure it would be safe for her to run such a campaign against a Democrat, considering it may expose her as being ignorant. Not to mention Buck seems to have a better chance at winning the overall election anyways.

Buck is more of his own person then Norton, she's pretty much a puppet of a lot of people. She's pratically all plastic and not real. It's quiet depressing considering 2010 was suppose to be about real people standing up.
Logged
Obscure
Rookie
**
Posts: 67
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2010, 04:09:51 PM »

I agree, Maes/Buck


I think Buck will beat Norton, the birther comment has passed over, not to mention Norton illegally aired the video of Buck talking about Weld County bullsh**t on his cow boy books by stealing it from a blog. I think that margin will be at least a few points, maybe up to 10 if this week just continues to be awesome for Buck.

I originally wanted Norton to win, but after reading that I might have to reconsider. I'm not a huge fan of politicians who run a dirty campaign against someone from their own party. I'm not even sure it would be safe for her to run such a campaign against a Democrat, considering it may expose her as being ignorant. Not to mention Buck seems to have a better chance at winning the overall election anyways.

Buck is more of his own person then Norton, she's pretty much a puppet of a lot of people. She's pratically all plastic and not real. It's quiet depressing considering 2010 was suppose to be about real people standing up.

Norton is a puppet,  yes, but so is Bennet. If it came down to the two of them, I'd much rather have Norton because she's OUR puppet Smiley
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2010, 04:21:43 PM »

I agree, Maes/Buck


I think Buck will beat Norton, the birther comment has passed over, not to mention Norton illegally aired the video of Buck talking about Weld County bullsh**t on his cow boy books by stealing it from a blog. I think that margin will be at least a few points, maybe up to 10 if this week just continues to be awesome for Buck.

I originally wanted Norton to win, but after reading that I might have to reconsider. I'm not a huge fan of politicians who run a dirty campaign against someone from their own party. I'm not even sure it would be safe for her to run such a campaign against a Democrat, considering it may expose her as being ignorant. Not to mention Buck seems to have a better chance at winning the overall election anyways.

Buck is more of his own person then Norton, she's pretty much a puppet of a lot of people. She's pratically all plastic and not real. It's quiet depressing considering 2010 was suppose to be about real people standing up.

Norton is a puppet,  yes, but so is Bennet. If it came down to the two of them, I'd much rather have Norton because she's OUR puppet Smiley

They are both terrible, really, both parties could have picked a puppets slightly smaller. The Problem is with Romanoff, buck can compete with him, but Norton can't. He's the democrat's grassroots choice, you don't hear that one often in this election cycle. He's way to the left, but he would keep all democrat support and a huge majority of independents and even a decent amount of republicans. He has integrity, and if you haven't noticed, our state is having slight problems at the moment with that one haha
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2010, 04:23:46 PM »

Maes/Buck
Logged
Obscure
Rookie
**
Posts: 67
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2010, 04:33:50 PM »


They are both terrible, really, both parties could have picked a puppets slightly smaller. The Problem is with Romanoff, buck can compete with him, but Norton can't. He's the democrat's grassroots choice, you don't hear that one often in this election cycle. He's way to the left, but he would keep all democrat support and a huge majority of independents and even a decent amount of republicans. He has integrity, and if you haven't noticed, our state is having slight problems at the moment with that one haha

I'd like to see Buck win, but I don't think Romanoff would be the end of the world. At least he's conservative on some issues, like gun rights. But yes, I have noticed a problem with integrity lately. Not to mention Colorado is a typical swing state. They seem to bounce back and forth between Republican and Democrat every election haha.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 02, 2010, 08:20:59 PM »


They are both terrible, really, both parties could have picked a puppets slightly smaller. The Problem is with Romanoff, buck can compete with him, but Norton can't. He's the democrat's grassroots choice, you don't hear that one often in this election cycle. He's way to the left, but he would keep all democrat support and a huge majority of independents and even a decent amount of republicans. He has integrity, and if you haven't noticed, our state is having slight problems at the moment with that one haha

I'd like to see Buck win, but I don't think Romanoff would be the end of the world. At least he's conservative on some issues, like gun rights. But yes, I have noticed a problem with integrity lately. Not to mention Colorado is a typical swing state. They seem to bounce back and forth between Republican and Democrat every election haha.

If Wadhams wasn't the chair, and Tancredo wasn't in the race we'd be able to win US Senate, The governor's seat, CD-3, CD-4, CD-7 as well as the state house and senate
Logged
Obscure
Rookie
**
Posts: 67
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 02, 2010, 08:41:53 PM »


They are both terrible, really, both parties could have picked a puppets slightly smaller. The Problem is with Romanoff, buck can compete with him, but Norton can't. He's the democrat's grassroots choice, you don't hear that one often in this election cycle. He's way to the left, but he would keep all democrat support and a huge majority of independents and even a decent amount of republicans. He has integrity, and if you haven't noticed, our state is having slight problems at the moment with that one haha

I'd like to see Buck win, but I don't think Romanoff would be the end of the world. At least he's conservative on some issues, like gun rights. But yes, I have noticed a problem with integrity lately. Not to mention Colorado is a typical swing state. They seem to bounce back and forth between Republican and Democrat every election haha.

If Wadhams wasn't the chair, and Tancredo wasn't in the race we'd be able to win US Senate, The governor's seat, CD-3, CD-4, CD-7 as well as the state house and senate

Just out of curiosity, which district are you in? But regardless, I think Republicans will take back CD-4 this November without a problem. As for state government goes, I'm afraid that's only your problem. In Michigan, Republicans have control of the Senate and Democrat have control of the House, and that's just barely acceptable. I couldn't imagine Democrats having both.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 02, 2010, 09:59:19 PM »


They are both terrible, really, both parties could have picked a puppets slightly smaller. The Problem is with Romanoff, buck can compete with him, but Norton can't. He's the democrat's grassroots choice, you don't hear that one often in this election cycle. He's way to the left, but he would keep all democrat support and a huge majority of independents and even a decent amount of republicans. He has integrity, and if you haven't noticed, our state is having slight problems at the moment with that one haha

I'd like to see Buck win, but I don't think Romanoff would be the end of the world. At least he's conservative on some issues, like gun rights. But yes, I have noticed a problem with integrity lately. Not to mention Colorado is a typical swing state. They seem to bounce back and forth between Republican and Democrat every election haha.

If Wadhams wasn't the chair, and Tancredo wasn't in the race we'd be able to win US Senate, The governor's seat, CD-3, CD-4, CD-7 as well as the state house and senate

Just out of curiosity, which district are you in? But regardless, I think Republicans will take back CD-4 this November without a problem. As for state government goes, I'm afraid that's only your problem. In Michigan, Republicans have control of the Senate and Democrat have control of the House, and that's just barely acceptable. I couldn't imagine Democrats having both.

CD-7. Markey wasn't as liberal as most dems so that will play to her favor and there's an american constitution candidate in the race so if Tancredo is viable, he'll also be picking up some points which could kill Gardner in the race.The district went what was it? 11% libertarian in 2006.
Logged
Vepres
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,032
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 02, 2010, 10:11:25 PM »
« Edited: August 02, 2010, 10:23:15 PM by Vepres »


They are both terrible, really, both parties could have picked a puppets slightly smaller. The Problem is with Romanoff, buck can compete with him, but Norton can't. He's the democrat's grassroots choice, you don't hear that one often in this election cycle. He's way to the left, but he would keep all democrat support and a huge majority of independents and even a decent amount of republicans. He has integrity, and if you haven't noticed, our state is having slight problems at the moment with that one haha

I'd like to see Buck win, but I don't think Romanoff would be the end of the world. At least he's conservative on some issues, like gun rights. But yes, I have noticed a problem with integrity lately. Not to mention Colorado is a typical swing state. They seem to bounce back and forth between Republican and Democrat every election haha.

If Wadhams wasn't the chair, and Tancredo wasn't in the race we'd be able to win US Senate, The governor's seat, CD-3, CD-4, CD-7 as well as the state house and senate

Just out of curiosity, which district are you in? But regardless, I think Republicans will take back CD-4 this November without a problem. As for state government goes, I'm afraid that's only your problem. In Michigan, Republicans have control of the Senate and Democrat have control of the House, and that's just barely acceptable. I couldn't imagine Democrats having both.

CD-7. Markey wasn't as liberal as most dems so that will play to her favor and there's an american constitution candidate in the race so if Tancredo is viable, he'll also be picking up some points which could kill Gardner in the race.The district went what was it? 11% libertarian in 2006.


11% to a Reform party candidate.
Logged
Obscure
Rookie
**
Posts: 67
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 02, 2010, 10:15:50 PM »


Just out of curiosity, which district are you in? But regardless, I think Republicans will take back CD-4 this November without a problem. As for state government goes, I'm afraid that's only your problem. In Michigan, Republicans have control of the Senate and Democrat have control of the House, and that's just barely acceptable. I couldn't imagine Democrats having both.

CD-7. Markey wasn't as liberal as most dems so that will play to her favor and there's an american constitution candidate in the race so if Tancredo is viable, he'll also be picking up some points which could kill Gardner in the race.The district went what was it? 11% libertarian in 2006.

Ah you live in a very liberal district just like me. But seeing as how CD-4 is very conservative, I wouldn't be surprised if we take it back. Even if we don't, Markey isn't too bad. I'm more concerned with getting rid of the more liberal members of congress first. Unfortunately I think you're right about the minor parties. I'd be a libertarian if the party was stronger. But the fact of the matter is they just take away votes from the Republicans and don't offer much hope.
Logged
timmer123
Rookie
**
Posts: 139


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 02, 2010, 11:19:03 PM »

You guys seem pretty cool, but you're wrong on one key thing:  It's always better to have a conservative Republican than a conservative Democrat, because when push comes to shove, they will tow the liberal party like like all those "Conservative/moderate" Democrat senators voting for the health care monstrosity. (i.e. Baucus, Tester, Conrad, Johnson, Nelson, Pryor, Lincoln, Webb, Warner, Dorgan, Begich)
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 02, 2010, 11:29:40 PM »

You guys seem pretty cool, but you're wrong on one key thing:  It's always better to have a conservative Republican than a conservative Democrat, because when push comes to shove, they will tow the liberal party like like all those "Conservative/moderate" Democrat senators voting for the health care monstrosity. (i.e. Baucus, Tester, Conrad, Johnson, Nelson, Pryor, Lincoln, Webb, Warner, Dorgan, Begich)

Romanoff is no moderate nor conservative on really any issue. He's as far left as it pretty much comes for personal thinking.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 02, 2010, 11:30:57 PM »


Just out of curiosity, which district are you in? But regardless, I think Republicans will take back CD-4 this November without a problem. As for state government goes, I'm afraid that's only your problem. In Michigan, Republicans have control of the Senate and Democrat have control of the House, and that's just barely acceptable. I couldn't imagine Democrats having both.

CD-7. Markey wasn't as liberal as most dems so that will play to her favor and there's an american constitution candidate in the race so if Tancredo is viable, he'll also be picking up some points which could kill Gardner in the race.The district went what was it? 11% libertarian in 2006.

Ah you live in a very liberal district just like me. But seeing as how CD-4 is very conservative, I wouldn't be surprised if we take it back. Even if we don't, Markey isn't too bad. I'm more concerned with getting rid of the more liberal members of congress first. Unfortunately I think you're right about the minor parties. I'd be a libertarian if the party was stronger. But the fact of the matter is they just take away votes from the Republicans and don't offer much hope.

everyone claims the 7th is democratic, but really it can swing, and it will swing far to Frazier when he wins the primary. It just has been so democratic because the last two cycles we've had crappy candidates and it wasn't a good year not to mention Perlmutter just keeps raising money, this year that all changes Smiley
Logged
redcommander
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,816
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 02, 2010, 11:38:13 PM »

Maes will win. I'm hoping Norton will pull it off. I can't stand Buck, if anything his comments will come back to haunt him in the general where he will be as appealing as Angle. Norton is far more electable no matter what polls say right now.
Logged
Obscure
Rookie
**
Posts: 67
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 02, 2010, 11:41:48 PM »


Just out of curiosity, which district are you in? But regardless, I think Republicans will take back CD-4 this November without a problem. As for state government goes, I'm afraid that's only your problem. In Michigan, Republicans have control of the Senate and Democrat have control of the House, and that's just barely acceptable. I couldn't imagine Democrats having both.

CD-7. Markey wasn't as liberal as most dems so that will play to her favor and there's an american constitution candidate in the race so if Tancredo is viable, he'll also be picking up some points which could kill Gardner in the race.The district went what was it? 11% libertarian in 2006.

Ah you live in a very liberal district just like me. But seeing as how CD-4 is very conservative, I wouldn't be surprised if we take it back. Even if we don't, Markey isn't too bad. I'm more concerned with getting rid of the more liberal members of congress first. Unfortunately I think you're right about the minor parties. I'd be a libertarian if the party was stronger. But the fact of the matter is they just take away votes from the Republicans and don't offer much hope.

everyone claims the 7th is democratic, but really it can swing, and it will swing far to Frazier when he wins the primary. It just has been so democratic because the last two cycles we've had crappy candidates and it wasn't a good year not to mention Perlmutter just keeps raising money, this year that all changes Smiley

Nice. I wish my district could swing. Here in MI CD-15, we've elected the same Democratic house representative since 1955. Neither party has been able to put up an opponent strong enough to defeat him. The way I see it, he'll be serving til the day he dies. And about his politics... Let's just say he's never met a tax that he didn't like.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 03, 2010, 02:14:13 PM »

Maes will win. I'm hoping Norton will pull it off. I can't stand Buck, if anything his comments will come back to haunt him in the general where he will be as appealing as Angle. Norton is far more electable no matter what polls say right now.

obviously you don't live in colorado. Norton isn't electable, she's cardboard. And the only people that said she could win pointed solely at the polls, now she doesn't even have that.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 03, 2010, 11:09:42 PM »

New Rasmussen poll out,

Maes is doing better than McInnis Smiley
Logged
Dgov
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,558
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 04, 2010, 04:57:22 AM »

everyone claims the 7th is democratic, but really it can swing, and it will swing far to Frazier when he wins the primary. It just has been so democratic because the last two cycles we've had crappy candidates and it wasn't a good year not to mention Perlmutter just keeps raising money, this year that all changes Smiley

From What I can understand, the Western portion leans sort of Republican, but the Eastern portion, especially the heavily minority parts of Aurora, is what tilts it Democrat.  Frazier is probably the best candidate the Republicans can hope for in that regard, as his tenure as mayor of Aurora should help him keep down Perlmutter's margins there.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 04, 2010, 02:04:23 PM »

everyone claims the 7th is democratic, but really it can swing, and it will swing far to Frazier when he wins the primary. It just has been so democratic because the last two cycles we've had crappy candidates and it wasn't a good year not to mention Perlmutter just keeps raising money, this year that all changes Smiley

From What I can understand, the Western portion leans sort of Republican, but the Eastern portion, especially the heavily minority parts of Aurora, is what tilts it Democrat.  Frazier is probably the best candidate the Republicans can hope for in that regard, as his tenure as mayor of Aurora should help him keep down Perlmutter's margins there.

exactly. and he is popular in aurora
Logged
Vepres
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,032
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 04, 2010, 05:42:15 PM »

Maes will win. I'm hoping Norton will pull it off. I can't stand Buck, if anything his comments will come back to haunt him in the general where he will be as appealing as Angle. Norton is far more electable no matter what polls say right now.

Buck is nowhere near as extreme as Angle.
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,123
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 05, 2010, 11:48:08 AM »

Buck is no Angle and we could win it with either of them. I will stick with Norton however.

Maes will probably beat McInnis. Getting rid of Tancredo might be a job and a half though.


I think we will win CO-04. I don't think Tancredo will provide much aide to a downballot AIP candidate, especially if the Republican is highly conservative which Gardner is or atleast should be enough so to keep the AIP candidate in the low single digits.

CO-03 could be competative if Tipton could start raising some cash.

CO-07 is a longshot, but we have a great candidate and good fundraiser.
Logged
Vepres
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,032
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 05, 2010, 12:07:38 PM »

everyone claims the 7th is democratic, but really it can swing, and it will swing far to Frazier when he wins the primary. It just has been so democratic because the last two cycles we've had crappy candidates and it wasn't a good year not to mention Perlmutter just keeps raising money, this year that all changes Smiley

From What I can understand, the Western portion leans sort of Republican, but the Eastern portion, especially the heavily minority parts of Aurora, is what tilts it Democrat.  Frazier is probably the best candidate the Republicans can hope for in that regard, as his tenure as mayor of Aurora should help him keep down Perlmutter's margins there.

exactly. and he is popular in aurora

Not to mention he's basically matching Perlmutter in fundraising.
Logged
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,785
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 05, 2010, 01:09:46 PM »

everyone claims the 7th is democratic, but really it can swing, and it will swing far to Frazier when he wins the primary. It just has been so democratic because the last two cycles we've had crappy candidates and it wasn't a good year not to mention Perlmutter just keeps raising money, this year that all changes Smiley

From What I can understand, the Western portion leans sort of Republican, but the Eastern portion, especially the heavily minority parts of Aurora, is what tilts it Democrat.  Frazier is probably the best candidate the Republicans can hope for in that regard, as his tenure as mayor of Aurora should help him keep down Perlmutter's margins there.

exactly. and he is popular in aurora

Not to mention he's basically matching Perlmutter in fundraising.

some Qs he has beat him too
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.071 seconds with 14 queries.