Colorado Republican Primary Predictions

[California8429]

Buck is no Angle and we could win it with either of them. I will stick with Norton however.

Maes will probably beat McInnis. Getting rid of Tancredo might be a job and a half though.


I think we will win CO-04. I don't think Tancredo will provide much aide to a downballot AIP candidate, especially if the Republican is highly conservative which Gardner is or atleast should be enough so to keep the AIP candidate in the low single digits.

CO-03 could be competative if Tipton could start raising some cash.

CO-07 is a longshot, but we have a great candidate and good fundraiser.

03 is more of a longshot than the 7th. Frazier has a war chest, he's a good speak, he was elected in aurora and this is 2010. In the 3rd Tipton is doing exactly what he did last time and he lost that race to the same percntages of CD-2.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

everyone claims the 7th is democratic, but really it can swing, and it will swing far to Frazier when he wins the primary. It just has been so democratic because the last two cycles we've had crappy candidates and it wasn't a good year not to mention Perlmutter just keeps raising money, this year that all changes

From What I can understand, the Western portion leans sort of Republican, but the Eastern portion, especially the heavily minority parts of Aurora, is what tilts it Democrat.  Frazier is probably the best candidate the Republicans can hope for in that regard, as his tenure as mayor of Aurora should help him keep down Perlmutter's margins there.

exactly. and he is popular in aurora

Not to mention he's basically matching Perlmutter in fundraising.

In the sense that he's raised half of what Perlmutter has, and only has 1/5th the cash on hand, sure.

[Bo]

Maes/Buck

[California8429]

Here's my call

Ken Buck 53
Jane Norton 47

Dan maes 52
Scott McInnis 48

Andrew Romanoff 49
MIchael Bennet 51

JJ Ament 56
Walker Stapleton 44

[Bo]

Buck-54
Norton-46

Maes-55
McInnis-45

Romanoff-51
Bennet-49

[Obscure]

http://www.foxnews.com/interactive/politics/2010/08/10/colorado-primary-results/