HI-01: Djou internal claims 8-point lead over Hanabusa
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 08:57:35 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2010 Elections
  2010 House Election Polls
  HI-01: Djou internal claims 8-point lead over Hanabusa		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: HI-01: Djou internal claims 8-point lead over Hanabusa  (Read 1069 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 02, 2010, 06:06:50 PM »
http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/08/djou_claims_ear.php

Charles Djou (R) - 50
Colleen Hanabusa (D) - 42
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2010, 06:08:10 PM »
...internal.
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2010, 06:17:09 PM »
What is with all these internals lately?
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2010, 06:42:20 PM »
Quote from: SvenssonRS on August 02, 2010, 06:17:09 PM
What is with all these internals lately?

Drives the "Democrats are doomed!" narrative, especially because there's been so little legitimate polling of House races.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2010, 06:57:07 PM »
So it's tied?  Not bad.
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,913
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2010, 07:01:53 PM »
GO DJOU!
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2010, 07:14:02 PM »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on August 02, 2010, 06:42:20 PM
Quote from: SvenssonRS on August 02, 2010, 06:17:09 PM
What is with all these internals lately?

Drives the "Democrats are doomed!" narrative, especially because there's been so little legitimate polling of House races.

Well, it's completely pointless polling. I prefer numbers with actual meaning.
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 02, 2010, 07:20:09 PM »
Djou have as much chances to win reelection as Joseph Cao
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 02, 2010, 08:08:49 PM »
Quote from: Kalwejt on August 02, 2010, 07:20:09 PM
Djou have as much chances to win reelection as Joseph Cao

Not true, Djou has a lot more working in his favor.  I think this race is accurately described as a tossup.


Conversely, Cedric Richmond can start measuring the drapes
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,431
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 03, 2010, 02:10:14 PM »
I still have this race as slightly favoring Djou. I respect Tarrance enough as an internal pollster that I'm sure it's not a wild outlier.

A bit too sunny for Djou, maybe. But probably not wildly so, unless Djou is in the habit of daily tracking polls.
Logged
Kevin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,424
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 03, 2010, 02:17:51 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on August 03, 2010, 02:10:14 PM
I still have this race as slightly favoring Djou. I respect Tarrance enough as an internal pollster that I'm sure it's not a wild outlier.

A bit too sunny for Djou, maybe. But probably not wildly so, unless Djou is in the habit of daily tracking polls.

I would agree, even though this seat leans strongly towards the Democrats on the Presidential and Senatorial level. Republicans have won here before in terms of governorships and local races.
Logged
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 03, 2010, 09:23:33 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on August 03, 2010, 02:10:14 PM
I still have this race as slightly favoring Djou. I respect Tarrance enough as an internal pollster that I'm sure it's not a wild outlier.

It's not wild, but Hanabusa overperformed expectations in the primary by beating the DCCC-backed Case, kicked off her contentious primary for her second go at it, and Djou only got 40% or so in favorable lower-turnout special election conditions...

I had expected Djou to get ca stronger plurality than he did in the special, to be honest, and that combined with Case withdrawing helps Hanabusa's fundamentals imo.  And Obama will be able to parachute in his likeness to help the Democrat in this race, unlike during the Special
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 13 queries.