CT: Rasmussen: Malloy opens 15-point lead against Foley
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  CT: Rasmussen: Malloy opens 15-point lead against Foley
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Author Topic: CT: Rasmussen: Malloy opens 15-point lead against Foley  (Read 1014 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 16, 2010, 09:37:35 AM »

New Poll: Connecticut Governor by Rasmussen on 2010-08-13

Summary: D: 48%, R: 33%, I: 6%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2010, 09:39:37 AM »

Favorable Ratings:

Malloy: 53% favorable, 33% unfavorable
Foley: 45% favorable, 41% unfavorable
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Meeker
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2010, 09:55:34 AM »

Nice to see some pick-ups even during a lousy cycle.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2010, 11:12:53 AM »

Nice to see some pick-ups even during a lousy cycle.

Yeah considering the GOP utterly failed to pick up ANYTHING in 2006.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2010, 05:49:30 PM »

Nice to see some pick-ups even during a lousy cycle.

Yeah considering the GOP utterly failed to pick up ANYTHING in 2006.

Of course, the Dem gains in 2006 were smaller than the Republican gains will be this year. They only picked up six governor's mansions, while the Republicans will likely pick up a dozen or so.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2010, 06:00:17 PM »

I'm surprised to see a race where neither side picked an epic fail candidate.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2010, 06:36:34 PM »

Nice to see some pick-ups even during a lousy cycle.

Yeah considering the GOP utterly failed to pick up ANYTHING in 2006.

Of course, the Dem gains in 2006 were smaller than the Republican gains will be this year. They only picked up six governor's mansions, while the Republicans will likely pick up a dozen or so.

A dozen? Extremely doubtful.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #7 on: August 16, 2010, 06:44:20 PM »

Nice to see some pick-ups even during a lousy cycle.

Yeah considering the GOP utterly failed to pick up ANYTHING in 2006.

Of course, the Dem gains in 2006 were smaller than the Republican gains will be this year. They only picked up six governor's mansions, while the Republicans will likely pick up a dozen or so.

A dozen? Extremely doubtful.

They're even money or better on CA, OR, NM, WY, OK, KS, IA, WI, IL, TN, MI, PA, OH, MD, and ME. Not that I expect all of them to fall, but 12 isn't out of the realm of possibility.
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Meeker
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« Reply #8 on: August 16, 2010, 06:46:58 PM »

Nice to see some pick-ups even during a lousy cycle.

Yeah considering the GOP utterly failed to pick up ANYTHING in 2006.

Of course, the Dem gains in 2006 were smaller than the Republican gains will be this year. They only picked up six governor's mansions, while the Republicans will likely pick up a dozen or so.

A dozen? Extremely doubtful.

I thought so at first too but it's actually not. Kansas, Tennessee and Wyoming are gone for sure and there's a greater than 90% chance at losing Oklahoma and Iowa too. Republicans have clear leads in Maine, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Ohio, Wisconsin and Michigan. New Mexico and Maryland are toss-ups and California and Oregon are competitive as well. So that's five gone for sure with another six in the likely category and another four that could still go either way. A dozen isn't out of the realm of possibility at all.

EDIT: Damn it Johnny.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: August 16, 2010, 08:26:15 PM »

Guys, for starters, you do realize that California wouldn't be a Republican pickup, correct?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #10 on: August 16, 2010, 08:30:21 PM »

Okay, so 14 instead of 15 potential pickups. My point still stands.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: August 16, 2010, 08:50:14 PM »
« Edited: August 16, 2010, 09:02:54 PM by Eraserhead »

Well, if we are talking about pure pickups and not the amount of pickups factoring in Democratic pickups, it is possible. If you look at my post, I never said that it wasn't. I just believe it's extremely unlikely that they'll get a dozen pickups. They're much more likely to get about 3/4 of that number imo but whatever. No biggie.
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Lunar
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« Reply #12 on: August 16, 2010, 09:07:50 PM »
« Edited: August 16, 2010, 09:09:57 PM by Lunar »

while the Republicans will likely pick up a dozen or so.

Considering that was the original quote...that's a stretch even not factoring into the idea that the Democrats are competitive or favored in states like CT, Vt, RI, HI, etc...

Tossups have to equal like three quarters of a likely GOP pickup or something for that to work.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #13 on: August 17, 2010, 07:18:44 PM »

while the Republicans will likely pick up a dozen or so.

Considering that was the original quote...that's a stretch even not factoring into the idea that the Democrats are competitive or favored in states like CT, Vt, RI, HI, etc...

Tossups have to equal like three quarters of a likely GOP pickup or something for that to work.
I think he was just talking about how many seats Republican would gain back, not their net gain.
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