CA: Survey USA: Brown in a tight battle with Whitman

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: California Governor by Survey USA on 2010-08-12

Summary: D: 43%, R: 44%, I: 6%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

Note: This is actually a pretty big surge for Brown from SUSA's last poll.

[Dgov]

It will be interesting to see if Survey USA's cross-tab numbers are correct--if they are, Republicans are close to winning non-black minorities in California.

And I can say from (admittedly anecdotal) experience that it's not entirely unlikely.  Outside of Los Angeles Proper, Hispanics don't vote all that Democrat.

[Sbane]

And I can say from (admittedly anecdotal) experience that it's not entirely unlikely.  Outside of Los Angeles Proper, Hispanics don't vote all that Democrat.

Bay area?

Of course in Southern California, Hispanics who live in OC or the IE seem to be more conservative than their counterparts in LA. Though some of that has to do with the whites living in those areas being very Republican (as opposed to those in LA or the bay area),and thus making it seem like the Hispanics who live there are significantly more Republican than they are.

Also I should mention that asians do sometimes vote similarly to whites for statewide offices. For example in 2006, Schwarzenegger actually got a slightly higher proportion of the asian vote as opposed to the white vote. Hispanics tend to stick with Democrats though, so it will be interesting to see if Whitman is able to change that.

[Cato]

Asians actually used to vote Republican all across the country.  GHWB got something like 56% of Asians in 1992.

I think a lot of them changed parties, or rather their children all joined the Democrats, because of growing social liberalism.

[Bo]

Asians actually used to vote Republican all across the country.  GHWB got something like 56% of Asians in 1992.

I think a lot of them changed parties, or rather their children all joined the Democrats, because of growing social liberalism.

I thought Clinton won the Asian vote in 1992? And from what I've know, the main reason Asians started voting Democratic was due to the end of the Cold War. Many Asians admired the GOP for their staunch anti-Communism, but once the Cold War ended, the main incentive for them to vote GOP disappeared.

[Cato]

Asians are pretty law and order and they also tend to be higher income earners, so I think a lot of their trending Democrat recently has to do with social issues.