Australian Federal Election - Results Thread

[Filuwaúrdjan]

And here it is.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Two exit polls give the ALP narrow leads

[Filuwaúrdjan]

An exit poll of Herbert (that is, Townsville), Qld, apparently shows a three point swing to the ALP. Wouldn't have thought exit polls of individual constituencies are worth much, but news is news.

[redcommander]

An exit poll of Herbert (that is, Townsville), Qld, apparently shows a three point swing to the ALP. Wouldn't have thought exit polls of individual constituencies are worth much, but news is news.

That's odd, isn't Townsville a Liberal leaning area?

[Phony Moderate]

The Coalition is sinking on InTrade.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

An exit poll of Herbert (that is, Townsville), Qld, apparently shows a three point swing to the ALP. Wouldn't have thought exit polls of individual constituencies are worth much, but news is news.

That's odd, isn't Townsville a Liberal leaning area?

It's regional Queensland, so it's difficult to categorise. The Liberal incumbent (who's retiring) narrowly hung on last time, but it was Labor throughout the Hawke-Keating years. Boundary changes give it a notional ALP lead of about three votes or something.

But, as I said, I'm not sure if such surveys of individual constituencies are worth a lot.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

...and the Atlas is back. Other constituency exit polls include (apparently) a big Liberal win in Lindsay and a solid Labor win in La Trobe.

But real numbers very soon now.

[redcommander]

Tonight could also be another history maker if Liberal Ken Wyatt wins in Hasluck. If he does, he will be the first Aboriginal man elected to the House of Representatives.

[Mr. Morden]

Watching the TV coverage, they've mentioned three different exit polls of specific constituencies, two that showed unrealistically large swings to Labor, and one that showed an unrealistically large swing to the Coalition.  None of the pundits believe the constituency exit polls.

Meanwhile, on Channel Ten, they mentioned that the national exit poll they did showed Labor winning 52%-48%, but that, oddly, the Coalition was slightly ahead in the actual swing races.

[You kip if you want to...]

Does Australia have that period were nothing happens for about an hour and a half after the polls close that we, in the UK, have? What time are results expected to start roll in?

[redcommander]

Does Australia have that period were nothing happens for about an hour and a half after the polls close that we, in the UK, have? What time are results expected to start roll in?

I noticed that, here is some early results.

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/guide/sop.htm

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Some figures are trickling in at the moment, but they don't mean much. But we'll get meaningful figures quite soon.

Or should.

[You kip if you want to...]

So, there's been no "calls" in any seats yet, there's just leads in raw vote?

[Mr. Morden]

What's the best website for results?

[You kip if you want to...]

What's the best website for results?

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/ i'm using that.

[Mr. Morden]

What's the best website for results?

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/ i'm using that.

Yeah, but where are they showing seat-by-seat results in some kind of logical order?  I go here:

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/guide/sop.htm

and I get overall state results.  I go here:

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/guide/latest.htm

and I get seat-by-seat results in some kind of random order.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Those Queensland swings do not look good.

[You kip if you want to...]

In regards to projections, ABC has:
Labor 3
Coalition 0
Independants 1
Greens 0

Labor hold Denison, Braddon and Lyons. On UNS, not that it's worth much, but Braddon was the seat the Coalition would need for a 1 seat majority.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Tasmania does different, though.

[You kip if you want to...]

Tasmania does different, though.

It's like a sunny Scotland.

[You kip if you want to...]

Antony Green thinks that Labor will hold Eden-Monaro against the NSW swing to the Libs. Good news for them.

Also, i'm gonna say I prefer our ways of counting.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Tasmania does different, though.

It's like a sunny Scotland.

It's not that sunny...

Something like a fifth of my relatives live in Tasmania, btw.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Interesting pattern now well-established in NSW; Sydney is looking grim for Labor, the rest of the state not so much. Two rural electorates (Eden-Monaro and Page) look to have been held, yet 'safe' Banks is on a knife edge...

[Silent Hunter]

26.9% counted so far; looks like the Coalition will win most votes, Labor most seats, but it's not guaranteed. STV can be funny like that...

Labor 63, Coalition 50.

[minionofmidas]

Well duh, the Green transfers.