Australian Federal Election - Results Thread

[minionofmidas]

Labor was leading in the early returns in Corangamite, but the margin is now less than 300 votes:

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/guide/cora.htm

Closest seat at the moment.

39,321 to 38,047 is 300? (Actually, that lead with two precincts out is not enough to call it - wtf?)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Green thinks that Lindsay, Greenway and Corangamite will all stay Labor.

[Mr. Morden]

Labor was leading in the early returns in Corangamite, but the margin is now less than 300 votes:

http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/guide/cora.htm

Closest seat at the moment.

39,321 to 38,047 is 300? (Actually, that lead with two precincts out is not enough to call it - wtf?)

Wait, sorry.  No, it's 1300.  I just misread it. 

[Hash]

5 final seats:

Boothby (Lib): 50.4% LIB
Corangamite (ALP): tied
Greenway (ALP not): 50.5% ALP
Hasluck (ALP): 50.5% LIB
Lindsay (ALP): 50.2% ALP

imo, only Corangamite is in doubt for me. so, ALP 71 vs. Forces of Darkness 73.

[minionofmidas]

The 50.0-50.0 is probably what lead you.

The tallies and percentages often don't sync - I *think* that's because the percentage is a projection. (Which means those missing precincts must be Coalition areas.)

[minionofmidas]

5 final seats:

Boothby (Lib): 50.4% LIB
Corangamite (ALP): tied
Greenway (ALP not): 50.5% ALP
Hasluck (ALP): 50.5% LIB
Lindsay (ALP): 50.2% ALP

imo, only Corangamite is in doubt for me. so, ALP 71 vs. Forces of Darkness 73.

Wait - they've called O'Connor? That looks premature to me. (Mind you, it's an intra FoD battle.)

[Platypus]

 I also am not convinced of what'll happen in Denison and Hasluck, but in short: If Abbott is PM in a few days, the greens are at fault.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Quite a few calls are probably premature; they really ought to wait until the situation wrt the postals is clear.

Anyway... as per ABC...

[Hash]

ABC projection is ALP 69, COAL 70, GRN 1, IND 4. Which means there's a 6th seat in doubt.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

(Which means those missing precincts must be Coalition areas.)

Not always; sometimes there are errors, sometimes there are problems caused by boundary changes.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Longest serving MP to lose (probably; it's on 50.6 with 68% counted) is Arch Bevis, who'd held the division of Brisbane since 1990. Basically a victim of boundary changes.

[Hash]

Bob Katter has a weird voice. He seems like he's dying.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Bob Katter has a weird voice. He seems like he's dying.

He's from Northern Queensland...

What's he saying, btw? I've turned the telly-link off for now.

[Hash]

What's he saying, btw? I've turned the telly-link off for now.

From what I could understand (which is not much), it seems like the 3 old Indies will act as a kind of bloc and they'll be basing their decision largely on regional-local issues.

[Platypus]

Labor ahead on the TPP for the first time all night...glimmer of hope

[Platypus]

50.65% ALP TPP, btw.

[Hash]

ABC now has Canning (Lib) in doubt. Liberals ahead rather 'comfortably' there, but a 2.8% swing to the ALP there.

Tony Windsor sez both Gillard and Hockey have called. He seems to say the same thing as Katter. And now Oakeshott is on ze phone. Thank you for speaking English properly, btw, Rob.

[Hash]

Fun that of the 4 Indies, 3 are ex-Nats and the latest one is a... ex-Greenie.

[You kip if you want to...]

Could we see a summer election in November/December?

[Platypus]

As I've been saying, Wilkie isn't elected yet (and Stephen Smith, bless him, agrees) and the other Independents aren't guaranteed Abbott supporters, especially Oakeshott and Katter and Windsor

Also any government will most likely last the full term, due to the nature of our Senate elections.

[Hash]

Natties ahead in O'Connor now

Nationals seem to be gaining O'Connor right now, w/ 34% counted. A victory for sanity!

[Platypus]

Also, in the three seats where I know a candidate personally and in a non-political context, the results are as follows:

Rebecca Leighton, Greens, Swan: 11. 47% (+1.45%)
Jess Di Blasio, Greens, Macarthur: 5.21% (+1.1%)
Hugh Mortensen, Labor, Murray: 23.63% (-0.43%)

[Platypus]

Wilkie only ahead by 16 votes in first preference terms from the Liberals. But this is actually bad news, because the Greens are more likely now to be eliminated before the Liberals, preferencing Wilkie over the Libs and probably Labor. Denison is now looking more positive for Wilkie than before.

[Hash]

Senate counting is funny: DLP now has a Senate seat.

[Hash]

Dear George Brandis,

Plese go DIAF.

Sincerely,
Hashemite