Australian Federal Election - Results Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: Australian Federal Election - Results Thread  (Read 51007 times)
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change08
Junior Chimp
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United Kingdom
« on: August 21, 2010, 03:23:23 AM »
Does Australia have that period were nothing happens for about an hour and a half after the polls close that we, in the UK, have? What time are results expected to start roll in?
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2010, 03:37:39 AM »
So, there's been no "calls" in any seats yet, there's just leads in raw vote?
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2010, 03:43:38 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on August 21, 2010, 03:41:55 AM
What's the best website for results?


http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/ i'm using that.
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2010, 04:03:50 AM »
In regards to projections, ABC has:
Labor 3
Coalition 0
Independants 1
Greens 0

Labor hold Denison, Braddon and Lyons. On UNS, not that it's worth much, but Braddon was the seat the Coalition would need for a 1 seat majority.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2010, 04:16:25 AM »

It's like a sunny Scotland. Tongue
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
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« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2010, 04:17:31 AM »
Antony Green thinks that Labor will hold Eden-Monaro against the NSW swing to the Libs. Good news for them.

Also, i'm gonna say I prefer our ways of counting. Tongue
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2010, 05:17:26 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on August 21, 2010, 05:12:39 AM
The analysts on TV are suggesting that a Labor majority is looking less and less likely.


I think if they don't win La Trobe, it's impossible. Solomon makes it look worrying too, that should've been a Lab hold.
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Junior Chimp
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United Kingdom
« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2010, 05:23:57 AM »
WA has started counting.
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
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« Reply #8 on: August 21, 2010, 05:27:22 AM »
Brandt says he's won in Melbourne.
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Junior Chimp
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United Kingdom
« Reply #9 on: August 21, 2010, 05:28:42 AM »
Could Labor lose Grayndler if the Greens finish second?
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #10 on: August 21, 2010, 05:33:26 AM »
Quote from: belgiansocialist on August 21, 2010, 05:31:06 AM
Hung parliament seems very likely now.(?)

Should Wilkie win and Labor doesn't make too many further loses, it's probably certain. It's also looking difficult for Labor in Grayndler should the Greens finish second, which they currently at.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: August 21, 2010, 05:35:45 AM »
Labor gain La Trobe. Cheesy
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #12 on: August 21, 2010, 05:37:25 AM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on August 21, 2010, 05:35:14 AM
Quote from: belgiansocialist on August 21, 2010, 05:31:06 AM
Hung parliament seems very likely now.(?)

I agree.  It looks like the most likely scenario at the moment.


Election 2011, here we come...?
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #13 on: August 21, 2010, 05:40:13 AM »
Quote from: Sibboleth on August 21, 2010, 05:38:36 AM
I was about to post the same sort of thing!

Quote from: change08 on August 21, 2010, 05:33:26 AM
It's also looking difficult for Labor in Grayndler should the Greens finish second, which they currently at.

Labor first preferences are about 46%; ought to be enough to hang on.

Did the Liberals give any preference recommendations?
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: August 21, 2010, 05:51:15 AM »
Greens 12% nationally. 1 seat. Democracy at work, right there.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: August 21, 2010, 05:53:43 AM »
Wilkie leading 58-42 in Denison.
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #16 on: August 21, 2010, 06:04:27 AM »
An unelected leader and a hung parliament. Like we've never seen that before.
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #17 on: August 21, 2010, 06:09:05 AM »
Quote from: Vote ALP! on August 21, 2010, 06:05:35 AM
Quote from: change08 on August 21, 2010, 06:04:27 AM
An unelected leader A prime minister without a general election and a hung parliament. Like we've never seen that before.

All leaders are unelected. Wink

Fixed.
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #18 on: August 21, 2010, 06:10:48 AM »
LibNats currently leading on 2PP nationally. That's something I didn't expect.
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #19 on: August 21, 2010, 06:28:58 AM »
Quote from: Parlez-vous Platypus? on August 21, 2010, 06:26:24 AM
yeah, but realistically of tose 8 undecided, it's going to end up as Silent Hunter suggested. 75 Left, 72 coalition and 3 right-leaning independents. PM Gillard.

That's 75 left, 75 right... interesting. What happens in a confidence vote if it's 75-75?
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #20 on: August 21, 2010, 06:34:13 AM »
ABC has the Libs ahead. If they sweep the 7 which are in doubt, the Libs have a majority.
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #21 on: August 21, 2010, 06:44:03 AM »
Quote from: Jango on August 21, 2010, 06:41:02 AM
Liberal Senator guy says Coalition will get 73, ALP 72, and 5 Ind/Greens. Ugh. Disgusting.

I guess the positive thing is that Brandt is definately with the ALP, and Wilkie probably is with the ALP. Who are the 3 INDs likely to go to? All 3 to the Libs?
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #22 on: August 21, 2010, 06:48:25 AM »
Taking Green's prediction of 73-72-4-1 and assuming Wilkie and Brant go to Labor and the 3 other INDs go Lib, it's 76-74. Lib majority, although it could probably be pulled down on no confidence.

What's the position of the 3 right INDs?
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #23 on: August 21, 2010, 07:46:20 AM »
Could we see a summer election in November/December?
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
« Reply #24 on: August 21, 2010, 10:08:35 AM »
The Libs are only 0.2% ahead in Brisbane now. Should the ALP pull ahead, Labor would probably be the largest party.
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