IL: Rasmussen: Brady still leads Quinn by a comfortable margin

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Illinois Governor by Rasmussen on 2010-08-23

Summary: D: 37%, R: 46%, I: 6%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

...

With leaners:

Brady: 49%
Quinn: 41%

[Eraserhead]

Call me crazy but I honestly think Quinn will win.

[Franzl]

Call me crazy but I honestly think Quinn will win.

I hope so, but I'm starting to seriously doubt it.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Call me crazy but I honestly think Quinn will win.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We cant afford to let this Brady in office.

[Lunar]

an uphill battle for the forces of good

[Rowan]

Governor's with approval ratings under 40% usually don't win.

[Lunar]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_state_surveys/illinois/toplines/toplines_illinois_governor_august_23_2010

really stable since last March from Rassy

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Governor's with approval ratings under 40% usually don't win.

One did in 2006, which is why IL Democrats are in this mess.

[Lunar]

Governor's with approval ratings under 40% usually don't win.

One did in 2006, which is why IL Democrats are in this mess.

You 40%'s governor isn't doing too bad on his reelect bid either, it should be said

[Rowan]

Governor's with approval ratings under 40% usually don't win.

One did in 2006, which is why IL Democrats are in this mess.

You 40%'s governor isn't doing too bad on his reelect bid either, it should be said

But that's a three way race though, which of course makes it easier.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems are likely to hold onto all Governmental offices and the LT Governor, Secretary of State and Attorney General office and likely to hold onto the State legislature, this isn't like OH and Ia and PA where the Dems are not gonna win the state constitutional offices. That's why I am still holding out hope.''

[Lunar]

Dems are likely to hold onto all Governmental offices and the LT Governor, Secretary of State and Attorney General office and likely to hold onto the State legislature, this isn't like OH and Ia and PA where the Dems are not gonna win the state constitutional offices. That's why I am still holding out hope.''

OH looks stronger than IL.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Call me crazy but I honestly think Quinn will win.

You're crazy.

[muon2]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_state_surveys/illinois/toplines/toplines_illinois_governor_august_23_2010

really stable since last March from Rassy

This is an important statistic. Quinn has sat between 35 and 40% and Brady between 43 and 48% since Brady was declared primary winner in March. That's very stable. And this is despite some early missteps from Brady and a big ad buy in July by the DGA to go negative on Brady. The status quo won't do in IL for the voters and given the Dem majorities in the legislature, the surest change to make is the at the Mansion. If the numbers haven't moved in the last six months, it's hard to see what moves them in the next two.

[Lunar]

On the plus side, there are less people voluntarily providing 3rd party names from two months ago, it seems

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

An eight point lead can close with two months to go. Quinn has been underfunded with cash and haven't had the type of money that Brady does.  There are  3rd party candidates and there are debates.  It's not like those won't have an effect on the races. And with Kirk collapsing in the poll,  Brady's lead with dwindle as well.

[Eraserhead]

Call me crazy but I honestly think Quinn will win.

You're crazy.

Thank you for your honest appraisal!

[Sam Spade]

Rasmussen says today - Brady 46, Quinn 38, Whitney 4, Some other candidate 5
(w/o leaners) - Brady 42, Quinn 34, Whitney 7, SOC 5

[Associate Justice PiT]

An eight point lead can close with two months to go. Quinn has been underfunded with cash and haven't had the type of money that Brady does.  There are  3rd party candidates and there are debates.  It's not like those won't have an effect on the races. And with Kirk collapsing in the poll,  Brady's lead with dwindle as well.

     Kirk hasn't been collapsing. Rasmussen is showing the same margin that his last poll did & the three polls that came out before Rasmussen were from rather second-rate firms.