A map
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  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  A map
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Author Topic: A map  (Read 1367 times)
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« on: August 28, 2010, 11:58:46 PM »

This is a PVI for California state elections, of sorts. Results for all partisan state governmental offices (Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, Controller, Insurance Commissioner, Secretary of State, Treasurer) in the last two elections (2002, 2006), have been averaged to produce PVIs, which have been listed on this map. For instance, Alameda is D+41, meaning that in the average election the Democrat wins by 41 points. Note that California as a whole is D+5. If the results were adjusted for a tied election, Alpine and San Benito would flip.

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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2010, 12:37:15 AM »

This is a PVI for California state elections, of sorts. Results for all partisan state governmental offices (Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, Controller, Insurance Commissioner, Secretary of State, Treasurer) in the last two elections (2002, 2006), have been averaged to produce PVIs, which have been listed on this map. For instance, Alameda is D+41, meaning that in the average election the Democrat wins by 41 points. Note that California as a whole is D+5. If the results were adjusted for a tied election, Alpine and San Benito would flip.



Cool map!  Cheesy 

Too bad about Sacramento. 
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2010, 12:45:45 AM »

Yeah, Sacramento is R+2. Before the 2006 elections, it was D+3. Merced and San Joaquin also flipped in 2006.
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minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2010, 02:32:53 PM »

Pretty damn predictable.
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cannonia
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« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2010, 02:38:23 AM »


I think the closure of all three Sacramento military bases in the '90s was a major factor in the partisan balance here.  Of course, the entire Central Valley trended Republican as the state Democratic party careened leftward and abandoned moderates.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« Reply #5 on: September 02, 2010, 03:49:30 PM »


I think the closure of all three Sacramento military bases in the '90s was a major factor in the partisan balance here.  Of course, the entire Central Valley trended Republican as the state Democratic party careened leftward and abandoned moderates.

Hmm? Of those counties in the Valley that are not monolithically Republican (Merced, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Stanislaus), only Stanislaus has seen its partisan balance change significantly in the last twenty years.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #6 on: September 02, 2010, 04:33:23 PM »

Here is the equivalent for Washington. The top one is the average results from every statewide election between 2004 and 2008 which had a 54.78%D-45.22%R statewide average. The second is adjusted to a statewide tie.

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