INTERNAL POLL DUMP (PUT ALL INTERNAL HOUSE POLLS HERE)

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Another fraudulent poll that identifies a no-chance-in-hell independent as a "Tea Party" candidate, huh?

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

This is a great idea, but I fear that it's slightly redundant -- the only real House polls we're likely to see are going to be internals.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I think grayson will be reelected. he has the money, and the charisma. and his district is not that conservative.

This guy has all the charm of Bob Dornan.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Patrick Murphy/PA-08:

Patrick Murphy (D) - 47
Mike Fitzpatrick (R) - 43

In response to this one for Fitzpatrick:

Mike Fitzpatrick (R) - 48
Patrick Murphy (D) - 41

I rather liked Fitzpatrick. Good to see he'll be returning to congress.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Makes you wonder what races the DCCC is polling but not releasing the results for.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Why even release an internal like that? I mean, that's basically called "conceding".

Money. Bielat is a total unknown, and is polling where he is with almost no name recognition. In the case of MA-04, you expect Frank to win 70-30. A ten point race is something of a "thing," even if this poll means it's really twenty points.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Public Opinion Strategies for Bill Hudak (R)

MASSACHUSETTS 06
Tierney (D) - 46%
Hudak (R) - 39%

http://www.redmassgroup.com/diary/10080/new-poll-reveals-hudak-within-striking-range-of-teirney

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Who are "high interest likely voters"? We get no top-line for plain likely voters.

lol, no idea.

For those that don't know, Hudak is the one who was abandoned by Baker and the state party after putting up lawn signs comparing Obama to Bin Laden. I'd say Barney Frank would lose before Tierney does (not that I expect either to).

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Missed this earlier in the week:

In Chris Shays's old district (CT-04):

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Debicella internal,  of course.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Chris Murphy is out with his internal

Gotham research Group t for Chris Murphy no dates
Murphy 50%
Caligiuri 37%

http://dccc.org/newsroom/entry/house_democrats_more_district_by_district_polls/

It has dates: "Conducted September 19-21, the poll surveyed 568 likely registered voters and has a 4.1 percent margin of error."

That's pretty stale.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I just heard from someone who says they heard from a person inside the DNC that their internal polling now shows Barney Frank up only 3 points in MA-04, and they're about to start throwing big money into the race.

That certainly sounds reliable.

The race in MA-04 may indeed be close. Barney Frank is starting to push Chris Dodd-level unfavorables, and is an easy target for having his fingerprints all over the housing bust. He's favored to win, of course, but this will be his most difficult race ever.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Sounds like a 25-point informed ballot poll lead to me.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

After reading JLT's prediction thread, I realize that we missed this one. No need to guess that this is an (R) internal:

NY-25, picked up by Maffei in 2008
Dan Maffei (D-inc.) 39% (–7)
Ann Marie Buerkle (R) 40% (+3)

http://www.politico.com/static/PPM152_101007_ny_exec_summary.html

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

After reading JLT's prediction thread, I realize that we missed this one. No need to guess that this is an (R) internal:

NY-25, picked up by Maffei in 2008
Dan Maffei (D-inc.) 39% (–7)
Ann Marie Buerkle (R) 40% (+3)

http://www.politico.com/static/PPM152_101007_ny_exec_summary.html

You must not read my thread at all.  Somehow I feel a little saddened...

When I said "missed this one," I meant "missed this poll," which has been floating out there for about a week now.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I know, Aaron Schock is so last year's model.

As if. Aaron Schock now, Aaron Schock forever.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

John Boehner (R) - 30.4
Justin Coussoule (D) - 19.6

INCUMBENT UNDER 50
BAD NEWS FOR BONER

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

NJ-06

Pallone: 44%
Little: 43%

http://www.politickernj.com/back_room/national-research-poll-shows-pallone-barely-ahead-little-44-43

lol, uh, no

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

John Loughlin (R) in RI-01 is claming a 41-41 tie with David Cicilline (D).

LoL

Laugh all you want, but Obama is actually heading to RI to make a last-minute campaign stop for Cicilline, and ... Hmm, perhaps we just added two and two?

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Is anyone else even a tiny bit sick of all these internal 'polls'? I'm glad that there's none of this madness over here and that tight campaign expenditure limits means that won't change...

Individual seat polling take all the fun out of election night anyway, in my opinion. In the UK, I love how we can end up with random seats changing hands that no-one ever sees coming.

We will still have that happening, I almost guarantee it.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Hard to believe.

Especially the part where it adds up, exactly, to 100. And has some weird weighting that the pollster has yet to explain.