ME: Public Policy Polling: LePage (R) leads by 14

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Maine Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2010-09-07

Summary: D: 29%, R: 43%, I: 11%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Wow... lots of undecideds/third party.

Also, Obama approval in this poll is at 44-51. Definitely not a good sign for Maine democrats.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     Maine is a state with a historically high share of voters who are willing to vote for independents (Perot broke 30% here in 1992), so the numbers drawn by the independent candidates are not surprising. If anything, I might expect them to be polling better.

      Anyway, is it really credible that Maine has a voter identification split of 37-39-25 D-R-I? That sounds quite bizarre to me.

[Dan the Roman]

     Maine is a state with a historically high share of voters who are willing to vote for independents (Perot broke 30% here in 1992), so the numbers drawn by the independent candidates are not surprising. If anything, I might expect them to be polling better.

      Anyway, is it really credible that Maine has a voter identification split of 37-39-25 D-R-I? That sounds quite bizarre to me.

It would be a massive swing from 2006. That was 37-29-34.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Mad GOP Wavves. The partisan split in this poll is a little ridiculous but even if it was with 2008 numbers Mitchell would be behind LePage. I guess LePage's French-Canadian ancestry is a big boost that a more moderate Republican wouldn't have.

[Dan the Roman]

Interested in the congressional races. ME-01, is imo, with MA-02, the great missed opportunity of the cycle for the GOP in New England. Even Charlie Summers, had he decided to run again would probably beat Pingree. Scontras?

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Interested in the congressional races. ME-01, is imo, with MA-02, the great missed opportunity of the cycle for the GOP in New England. Even Charlie Summers, had he decided to run again would probably beat Pingree. Scontras?

If the partisan breakdown of the electorate is correct, then ME-01 could be interesting regardless. A good year for Republicans in Northern New England -- who'd have thunk it possible?

[tpfkaw]

The Maine districts really could be in danger if an "extreme" Republican like LePage is getting more than his opponents combined in a three-way race.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Important flaw of the poll: most of it was done during Labor Day weekend.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

I'm at the point where I generally disregard crosstabs, but I do think this one is a bit too Republican. Not nearly enough to save Mitchell, of course.