PA: Critical Insights: Corbett tied with Onorato

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Pennsylvania Governor by Critical Insights on 2010-09-16

Summary: D: 37%, R: 38%, I: 0%, U: 25%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Tender Branson]

"In upcoming polls, responders will also be asked who they’d vote for in both the 10th and 11th Congressional Districts."

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Hey not bad if true.

[Tender Branson]

Hey not bad if true.

Hmm. Don´t know.

They don´t seem to push the undecideds, just like Franklin & Marshall.

Maybe the undecideds are really leaning hard to Corbett ...

Critical Insights normally just polls in Maine, where they had Obama winning 56-35 (he won 58-40).

[Associate Justice PiT]

     25% undecided is sort of ridiculous.

[Eraserhead]

NH and now this. We're gettin' some weird ones lately.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

This poll: 46% registered Democrats, 40% registered Republicans.
2008 exit polls: 44% reg. Dems, 37% registered Reps.

In other words, el-oh-el at your turnout modeling, Critical Insights.

[Smash255]

This poll: 46% registered Democrats, 40% registered Republicans.
2008 exit polls: 44% reg. Dems, 37% registered Reps.

In other words, el-oh-el at your turnout modeling, Critical Insights.

Actual voter enrollment in PA is 50.9% Democratic, 36.9% Republican.

[Mr.Phips]

This is one race that was always destined to go Republican.  Since the beginning of time, this state has switched from parties in the governorship every eight years. 

[Associate Justice PiT]

This poll: 46% registered Democrats, 40% registered Republicans.
2008 exit polls: 44% reg. Dems, 37% registered Reps.

In other words, el-oh-el at your turnout modeling, Critical Insights.

Actual voter enrollment in PA is 50.9% Democratic, 36.9% Republican.

     The actual Democratic advantage in PA is much smaller than those numbers would suggest, though, since back in 2008 Obama led a huge drive to re-register his non-Democratic supporters as Democrats to vote in the primary.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

This poll: 46% registered Democrats, 40% registered Republicans.
2008 exit polls: 44% reg. Dems, 37% registered Reps.

In other words, el-oh-el at your turnout modeling, Critical Insights.

Actual voter enrollment in PA is 50.9% Democratic, 36.9% Republican.

Actually enrollment could be 99% to 1% for all I care. The point is that the turnout for 2010 isn't going to look anything like the turnout for 2008 as this poll suggests.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

     25% undecided is sort of ridiculous.

It's garbage....like their Senatorial poll was.....