VA-05: SurveyUSA:Still a blowout for Hurt
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  VA-05: SurveyUSA:Still a blowout for Hurt
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Author Topic: VA-05: SurveyUSA:Still a blowout for Hurt  (Read 1101 times)
Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« on: September 28, 2010, 11:53:19 AM »

VA-05 SurveyUSA

Hurt: 58%
Periello: 35%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3dacde86-7c46-4050-9ba0-069ca6910d37
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2010, 06:05:53 PM »


Sucks. Periello deserves much better.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2010, 09:01:18 PM »

I can't help but think that for whatever reason SUSA is way off on this district. Even Perrielo's opponent had much better numbers for him in his internal.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2010, 09:28:31 PM »

I don't quite understand how Kratovil is in 50/50 territory while Perriello is getting completely knocked out of contention.
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they don't love you like i love you
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2010, 10:49:44 PM »

I don't quite understand how Kratovil is in 50/50 territory while Perriello is getting completely knocked out of contention.

Kratovil is well to his right. Perriello is actually quite liberal.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2010, 12:26:28 AM »

I don't quite understand how Kratovil is in 50/50 territory while Perriello is getting completely knocked out of contention.

Kratovil is well to his right. Perriello is actually quite liberal.

Kratovil also has the extra incentive of getting a taylor made center left district from the Maryland legislature if he survives 2010.  There is no majority white district in VA that Perriello could hold outside of NOVA.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2010, 04:58:26 AM »

Kratovil vs Harris is still Eastern Shore vs Baltimore Exurbs. That's the only explanation.
Perriello's coalition is Charlottesville plus Danville and southeastern (part of district) rural Blacks plus some extra on punishing Virgil Goode (whatever for). No more super high college turnout, a better R candidate and... you're still not really on these figures, and maybe they're off, but you are a fairly certain loser.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2010, 11:08:06 AM »

Also, 7% of likely voters say they've already voted. Among them Hurt has a 14 point lead. That number seems a bit high as I didn't realize so many people in Virginia voted absentee (I don't think Virginia has a major early voting in person set up at this point, so I'm guessing this 7% comes from mail in ballots.)
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2010, 05:49:33 PM »

Also, 7% of likely voters say they've already voted. Among them Hurt has a 14 point lead. That number seems a bit high as I didn't realize so many people in Virginia voted absentee (I don't think Virginia has a major early voting in person set up at this point, so I'm guessing this 7% comes from mail in ballots.)

There's in-person absentee voting usually set up at the DMV and/or courthouse.
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