dean beat bush?

[Nym90]

Eventually Dean will be in a 2 or 3 man race, though, and thus as you say he will have a much harder time winning. Right now he actually only has about 20% of Dem voters in polls. So in order to win he will have to pick up significant support from the backers of other candidates once those candidates drop out. If all of the Kerry, Lieberman, Clark, Edwards, and Gephardt people don't like Dean, then there is no way Dean can get nominated.

[Nym90]

Well, you may be right, but my main point was that if the race is shaping up as Dean people vs. Anti-Dean people, then the Anti-Dean people will probably eventually coalesce around one candidate to oppose Dean at some point, and then Dean will lose. They may not coalesce until after New Hampshire, but the momentum generated by primary victories is to a large extent overrated. Iowa and New Hampshire are certainly influential but there are still many other larger states with more delegates with the ability to strongly influence the process.

[Nym90]

2004 won't be the 200th anniversary of the Olympics, that won't be until 2096...
It will be the first Olympics held in Athens, the original Olympic site, since 1906, however.