2012 Three-Way Race!!!

[feeblepizza]

President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE)

vs.

Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA)

vs.

Governor Tom Tancredo (C-CO)/Former Governor Gary Johnson (R-NM)

(NOTE: Purple = Constitution Party.)

Who do you vote for and who wins. Discuss with maps.

[Penelope]

[#CriminalizeSobriety]

[tpfkaw]

Johnson would never agree to appear on a ticket with Tancredo.  The CP might get .5% of the vote, as opposed to .3%.

[Skill and Chance]

This would be a Colorado 2010 style disaster for conservatives.  Probably a 50-30-20 Obama win with over 400 EVs.  It would be like Wilson's win in 1912.

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

Why does Obama do so well in New Mexico with a Governor from that state running? On the popular vote map, I think I see New Mexico going with over 50% for Obama.

[Mr. Morden]

This would be a Colorado 2010 style disaster for conservatives.  Probably a 50-30-20 Obama win with over 400 EVs.  It would be like Wilson's win in 1912.

Tancredo would never win 20%.  Where in the world would he get the $ to wage a national campaign?  Do you think major GOP donors are going to contribute to a third party spoiler candidate?

[California8429]

50-40-10 ish

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

Why does Obama do so well in New Mexico with a Governor from that state running? On the popular vote map, I think I see New Mexico going with over 50% for Obama.

[feeblepizza]

Why does Obama do so well in New Mexico with a Governor from that state running? On the popular vote map, I think I see New Mexico going with over 50% for Obama.

Democrats outnumber Republicans 3-1 in New Mexico. Neither Romney nor Tancredo could win it.

[Yelnoc]

Why does Obama do so well in New Mexico with a Governor from that state running? On the popular vote map, I think I see New Mexico going with over 50% for Obama.

He splits the already marginal Republican vote.  That ticket won't pick up any democrats and no democrats will defect to the republicans to even out the numbers.

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

Tancredo and Johnson would never run on a ticket together. The two are opposed not only on foreign policy and economics, but also are complete opposites on Tancredo's signature issue, immigration.

Such an incoherent ticket would have little effect on the outcome of the race.

[MorningInAmerica]

Tancredo and Johnson would never run on a ticket together. The two are opposed not only on foreign policy and economics, but also are complete opposites on Tancredo's signature issue, immigration.

Such an incoherent ticket would have little effect on the outcome of the race.

Given that these are made up timelines, and thus, assuming that the Tancredo/Johnson ticket somehow pulls it together enough to run a "coherent" campaign, I think that Obama wins big. Let's just assume the 2012 election would have been a 52/48 election, favoring the Republicans. A Romney v. Tancredo v. Obama race would be the perfect set up for Obama to keep the voters that were going to vote for him anyway (48%), and for Romney and Tancredo to split the rest. Romney would appeal to about 1/2 to 2/3 of the Republican base, with Tancredo appealing to the other 30-40%. I would guess that Obama wins, 49-30-19%.

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

I would not mind this scenario because I really do not like Mitt Romney as a candidate. I am aucutally personally anticipating and prepared for an eight year Obama presidency.

So that's why you gave Romney a sex scandal and a one term Presidency in your 1972 Timeline.

[Thomas D]

Obama 437-101

[Miles]

Obama 437-101

Thats about right.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Tancredo/Johnson gets my vote.

Obama wins, however.