Yes, Murkowski will win. And Coats will JUST get by, while Delaware polls show that 22% will vote for third-party candidates.
Once more: No to Sen. Lisa Murkowski [R-Alaska]. Write-in vote won't put her over the top. Alaska has not yet elected a U.S. Senator outside the Republican-vs.-Democratic party duopoly.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_Senators_from_AlaskaDan Coats is polling in the upper-50s%, and will landslide Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-Indiana #08) to flip U.S. Senate seat from Indiana held by two-term Evan Bayh from Democratic to Republican column.
http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/senate/indianaAnd Delaware is not going to stop at 78 percent of the combined vote, only, for the Republican-vs.-Democratic matchup of Christine O'Donnell and Chris Coons, who is likely to hold the Senate seat previously occupied by Vice President Joe Biden and warmed by Ted Kaufman.
http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/senate/delaware