AR: Rasmussen: Sen. Lincoln (D) with the momentum -- only down 18!
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  AR: Rasmussen: Sen. Lincoln (D) with the momentum -- only down 18!
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Author Topic: AR: Rasmussen: Sen. Lincoln (D) with the momentum -- only down 18!  (Read 3304 times)
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« on: October 04, 2010, 07:19:12 AM »

New Poll: Arkansas Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-09-30

Summary: D: 37%, R: 55%, I: 3%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2010, 07:33:26 AM »

I'm sure that her fans here will be delighted! Maybe she can win a couple of counties now, after all!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2010, 07:41:43 AM »

Lincoln up 10% and Boozman down 10% from Scott's last poll.

OMG WHAT A COMEBACK... of course, that poll was from August. Heh.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2010, 07:44:45 AM »

Lincoln up 10% and Boozman down 10% from Scott's last poll.

OMG WHAT A COMEBACK... of course, that poll was from August. Heh.

If that rate continues, Lincoln will win re-election in 2016 with 850% of the vote.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2010, 10:38:25 AM »

She might do better than the random guy running against Beebe!
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Miles
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« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2010, 11:11:10 AM »
« Edited: October 04, 2010, 11:16:45 AM by MilesC56 »

This is good news. For this poll, Scott essentially copied that last AR Ipsos poll. With the Rasmussen  house effect of R+4, both polls have Boozman at 53% and Lincoln at 39%.

In any case, this poll shows that Lincoln is coming back. She has a chance. This was a 20-point swing towards Lincoln.

Blanche in "ONE THOUGH LADY!!!!"




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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2010, 11:30:13 AM »

lol @Blanche Lincoln fans.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2010, 11:32:07 AM »

This one is over folks.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2010, 11:35:53 AM »

I donated a little to Lincoln's campaign awhile ago, just as a gesture. More Democrats are settling in, so I think Blanche will at least make it to 44%.
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« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2010, 11:37:25 AM »

I'm not surprised things are tightening. It would make no sense to have her do worse than Obama did. Not that it'll matter or save her from a landslide defeat of course.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2010, 11:57:31 AM »

Miles, please, for the love of God and sunny Jesus, give up on Lincoln already. She is not winning.
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albaleman
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« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2010, 05:24:31 PM »


Nope. There is a sliver hope for Blanche. She has gained a lot recently. She has a big cash advantage. But she'll still probably lose. Why? Because of the disappearing Dixiecrat.
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KS21
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« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2010, 05:25:22 PM »

I'm sure Boozman's lead is less than 18.

This goes back to the voter screen.

Rasmussen weeds out most working-class folks, leaving only the super-roch and the old white guys.

As a nation, America has an economy in the shape of a bell. Small upper class, HUGE middle class, small (but getting bigger) lower class.

In Arkansas, especially out on the Delta, the upper class is much smaller than average, the same goes from the middle class, but the lower class is huge, especially out on the Mississippi Delta.

But anyways, my point is that the Rasmussen HE should be exaggerated because of demographics down in Arkansas.

Some of the people weeded from the voter screen are Dixiecrats who are regular voters, but don't quite meet the standards for Rassy's screen.

These people voted for Halter, as Lincoln scored big in Little Rock and Fayetteville.

Now, we are seeing confirmation from other pollsters that Dixiecrats, mainly Halter/Morrison supporters, are sliding back into Lincoln's camp.

I expect more of this Boozman-to-Lincoln movement coming up to election day.

But, in the SW, there is one man in a town called Hope that may hold Lincoln's fate, based on how much he gets out and campaigns.

Either way she's techniccally at 40 and needs to pull in more Dixiecrats.

She has a huge cash advantage, and may be able to buy the election.

That's one of teh reasons she won by 12 point sin 2004 even when Bush carried teh state by 10- Money.

And she's got lots of it.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2010, 05:26:09 PM »

*sigh*

Well, KS, Miles, and Al are all, officially, being put on Ignore.
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albaleman
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« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2010, 05:30:39 PM »


In any case, this poll shows that Lincoln is coming back. She has a chance. This was a 20-point swing towards Lincoln.


She still trails by 18 points. That's the first time I've ever heard somebody talk positively about an 18 point deficit.

And furthermore, she has effectively bought her recent upsurge.

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KS21
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« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2010, 05:39:35 PM »


Nope. There is a sliver hope for Blanche. She has gained a lot recently. She has a big cash advantage. But she'll still probably lose. Why? Because of the disappearing Dixiecrat.

Ther emay still be enough of tehm left, but they are indeed dwindeling, which is quite sad, since most of my positions line up with Dixiecrats.
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Miles
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« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2010, 06:00:05 PM »

Quote
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Dixiecrats were historically known for their ardent pro-slavery and pro-segregation views! hahaha

Just giving you a hard time KS!

No really, I think Lincoln can still come back. And no, I 'm not delusional!
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xavier110
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« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2010, 06:08:05 PM »

It's a dead heat!!
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KS21
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« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2010, 06:18:06 PM »

Quote
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Dixiecrats were historically known for their ardent pro-slavery and pro-segregation views! hahaha

Just giving you a hard time KS!

No really, I think Lincoln can still come back. And no, I 'm not delusional!

I think she can come back as well, Miles.

An, no,  I am not a segregationist. ; )
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memphis
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« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2010, 06:22:24 PM »

Maybe we'll still win in the Dakotas too
[/sarcasm]
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Miles
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« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2010, 06:30:39 PM »

Maybe we'll still win in the Dakotas too
[/sarcasm]

haha [sarcasm!]

Its a shame we're losing Dorgan too.
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KS21
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« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2010, 06:34:45 PM »

Maybe we'll still win in the Dakotas too
[/sarcasm]

haha [sarcasm!]

Its a shame we're losing Dorgan too.

Isn't it?

He's my favorite Senator, as if anyone could eclispe Blanche, but she's #2...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #22 on: October 04, 2010, 06:36:53 PM »

Did the Lincoln campaign pay people to start spinning on this forum for her? If so, that sounds like an inappropriate use of campaign funds.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #23 on: October 04, 2010, 06:41:05 PM »

Did the Lincoln campaign pay people to start spinning on this forum for her? If so, that sounds like an inappropriate use of campaign funds.

It is comical yet sad at the same time. I mean, Boozman has consistently been well above 50% this entire campaign season... Lincoln would need nothing short of a miracle to make this race competitive again.
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KS21
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« Reply #24 on: October 04, 2010, 06:51:44 PM »

The idea that the Lincoln campaign hired us to do anything is outrageous.

I am just a moderate stuck in the middle of Kansas, nothing more, nothing less.
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