AR: Rasmussen: Sen. Lincoln (D) with the momentum -- only down 18! (user search)
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  AR: Rasmussen: Sen. Lincoln (D) with the momentum -- only down 18! (search mode)
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Author Topic: AR: Rasmussen: Sen. Lincoln (D) with the momentum -- only down 18!  (Read 3366 times)
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« on: October 04, 2010, 05:25:22 PM »

I'm sure Boozman's lead is less than 18.

This goes back to the voter screen.

Rasmussen weeds out most working-class folks, leaving only the super-roch and the old white guys.

As a nation, America has an economy in the shape of a bell. Small upper class, HUGE middle class, small (but getting bigger) lower class.

In Arkansas, especially out on the Delta, the upper class is much smaller than average, the same goes from the middle class, but the lower class is huge, especially out on the Mississippi Delta.

But anyways, my point is that the Rasmussen HE should be exaggerated because of demographics down in Arkansas.

Some of the people weeded from the voter screen are Dixiecrats who are regular voters, but don't quite meet the standards for Rassy's screen.

These people voted for Halter, as Lincoln scored big in Little Rock and Fayetteville.

Now, we are seeing confirmation from other pollsters that Dixiecrats, mainly Halter/Morrison supporters, are sliding back into Lincoln's camp.

I expect more of this Boozman-to-Lincoln movement coming up to election day.

But, in the SW, there is one man in a town called Hope that may hold Lincoln's fate, based on how much he gets out and campaigns.

Either way she's techniccally at 40 and needs to pull in more Dixiecrats.

She has a huge cash advantage, and may be able to buy the election.

That's one of teh reasons she won by 12 point sin 2004 even when Bush carried teh state by 10- Money.

And she's got lots of it.
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2010, 05:39:35 PM »


Nope. There is a sliver hope for Blanche. She has gained a lot recently. She has a big cash advantage. But she'll still probably lose. Why? Because of the disappearing Dixiecrat.

Ther emay still be enough of tehm left, but they are indeed dwindeling, which is quite sad, since most of my positions line up with Dixiecrats.
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2010, 06:18:06 PM »

Quote
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Dixiecrats were historically known for their ardent pro-slavery and pro-segregation views! hahaha

Just giving you a hard time KS!

No really, I think Lincoln can still come back. And no, I 'm not delusional!

I think she can come back as well, Miles.

An, no,  I am not a segregationist. ; )
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2010, 06:34:45 PM »

Maybe we'll still win in the Dakotas too
[/sarcasm]

haha [sarcasm!]

Its a shame we're losing Dorgan too.

Isn't it?

He's my favorite Senator, as if anyone could eclispe Blanche, but she's #2...
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2010, 06:51:44 PM »

The idea that the Lincoln campaign hired us to do anything is outrageous.

I am just a moderate stuck in the middle of Kansas, nothing more, nothing less.
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